★
WLK
Westlake Corp · Chemicals
FCF-$508mF
Rev-8.6%D
D/E0.64B
P/S1.0xA-
PEG——
58Score
$88.601Y Target$119.61Near-term target
5Y Target$178.21Compound horizon
10Y Target$463.72Long-dated conviction
FCF-$508mTTM · 03/26F
FCF is negative (-$508m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev-8.6%TTM YoYD
Revenue -8.6% — meaningful contraction · TTM YoY from trailing-4-quarter revenue sum vs prior 4 quarters.
D/E0.64totalB
D/E 0.64 — at market average, manageable · Total D/E computed from balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt + lease obligations) ÷ stockholders equity. More accurate than native field, which often uses long-term debt only.
P/S1.0xA-
P/S 1.0x — cheap for any tech/growth name
PEG—proxy—
PEG not meaningful — earnings growth negative or data unavailable · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Why now
Chemicals · market cap $11.4b. Down 29% from 52-week high of $124.23 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue -9% — in contraction; any catalyst that reverses this triggers re-rating.
Moat
Speculative bucket — the moat thesis is forward-looking; without proven margin structure or capital efficiency yet, the durability argument is about IP / network effects / first-mover position that the company hasn't fully monetized.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$508m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Revenue contracting -9% — the operational turn is not yet visible in the top line. Currently unprofitable (margin -14.9%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk.
Horizon
1-3 yr $119.61 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $178.21 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $463.72 — return distribution heavily skewed.
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Position sizing · WLK
Shares to buy
22
Position size
$1,949
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$66.45
25% below $88.60
$ at risk
$500.00
1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.