Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

VTRS analysis

Viatris Inc.Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

Pharma
VTRS
Viatris Inc. · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
FCF$2.0bC+
Rev+4.5%C+
D/E0.96C
P/S1.3xA-
PEG1.05B+
50.1Score
$16.54$19.0B
1Y Target$18.50Analyst consensus · 8 analysts
5Y Target$32.36Compound horizon
10Y Target$57.83Long-dated conviction
FCF$2.0bTTM
C+
FCF $2.0b — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+4.5%TTM YoY
C+
Revenue +4.5% — steady but below market-beating range
D/E0.96
C
D/E 0.96 — more levered than most Healthcare peers (≈90th pctile)
P/S1.3x
A-
P/S 1.3x — cheaper than most Healthcare peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG1.05
B+
PEG 1.05 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 50.1
Quality38.4
Growth42.3
Value77.5
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
10% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value44% belowest. fair value ~$30
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~-9% a year for the next decade — vs the ~7% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability15% · C+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC-0.2% · Freturn on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · market cap $19.0b. 10% off the 52-week high of $18.39. 8 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $18.50 (implying +12% upside).
Moat
Pharma moat is patent runway + pipeline depth — a single approved molecule funds the next generation of bets. Late-stage trials carry binary readouts that swing valuation 30%+.
Risk
Currently unprofitable (margin -23.9%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. ROE -25% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate. Patent cliff exposure — a single approved molecule can carry the company; when patent protection expires, generic / biosimilar competition can erase 80% of the revenue in 2-3 years.
Horizon
1-3 yr $18.50 (8-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $32.36 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $57.83 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

VTRS vs the Top Picks average

PillarVTRSBook avgDiff
Quality0.380.84-0.45
Growth0.420.87-0.45
Value0.770.76in line

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+7.1 over 48 daily scores
From 43.0 (Jun 22) → 50.1 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+1.5%
90-day change-0.2%
Forward EPS estimate$2.67

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect VTRS to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
120
Position size
$1,985
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$12.40
25% below $16.54
$ at risk if stopped
$496.20
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Viatris Inc. (VTRS): score, valuation & FAQ

Viatris Inc. (VTRS) is a Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic company that scores 50.1 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/S (A-) and PEG (B+). On valuation, VTRS sits about 44% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -9% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is VTRS a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores VTRS 50.1 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by P/S (A-) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Viatris Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does VTRS score 50.1 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). VTRS earns its highest marks on P/S (A-) and PEG (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is VTRS overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $16.54, VTRS sits about 44% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -9% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in VTRS?

Currently unprofitable (margin -23.9%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. ROE -25% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate. Patent cliff exposure — a single approved molecule can carry the company; when patent protection expires, generic / biosimilar competition can erase 80% of the revenue in 2-3 years.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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