Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

UMAC analysis

Unusual Machines IncElectrical Equipment. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

UMAC
Unusual Machines Inc · Electrical Equipment
FCF-$40mF
Rev+146.9%A
D/E0.02A
P/S49.6xD
PEG
58Score
$31.79
1Y Target$42.92Near-term target
5Y Target$63.94Compound horizon
10Y Target$166.38Long-dated conviction
FCF-$40mTTM · 03/26
F
FCF is negative (-$40m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+146.9%TTM YoY
A
Revenue +146.9% — hypergrowth, top decile · TTM YoY from trailing-4-quarter revenue sum vs prior 4 quarters.
D/E0.02total
A
D/E 0.02 — essentially debt-free, pristine balance sheet · Total D/E computed from balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt + lease obligations) ÷ stockholders equity. More accurate than native field, which often uses long-term debt only.
P/S49.6x
D
P/S 49.6x — extreme, prices in flawless execution
PEGproxy
PEG not meaningful — earnings growth negative or data unavailable · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Why now
Electrical Equipment · market cap $1.2b. Trading near 52-week high of $32.00 — momentum setup, limited technical margin of safety. Revenue growing +147% — in hypergrowth territory.
Moat
Speculative bucket — the moat thesis is forward-looking; without proven margin structure or capital efficiency yet, the durability argument is about IP / network effects / first-mover position that the company hasn't fully monetized.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$40m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Currently unprofitable (margin -32.7%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Trading within 1% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction.
Horizon
1-3 yr $42.92 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $63.94 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $166.38 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Shares to buy
62
Position size
$1,971
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$23.84
25% below $31.79
$ at risk
$500.00
1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

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