Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

UCTT analysis

Ultra Clean Holdings IncSemiconductors. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

UCTT
Ultra Clean Holdings Inc · Semiconductors
FCF-$43mF
Rev-3.2%D+
D/E0.25A-
P/S1.8xA-
PEG
58Score
$87.46
1Y Target$118.07Near-term target
5Y Target$175.91Compound horizon
10Y Target$457.75Long-dated conviction
FCF-$43mTTM · 03/26
F
FCF is negative (-$43m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev-3.2%TTM YoY
D+
Revenue -3.2% — shrinking; needs a catalyst to reverse · TTM YoY from trailing-4-quarter revenue sum vs prior 4 quarters.
D/E0.25total
A-
D/E 0.25 — conservative leverage, strong balance sheet · Total D/E computed from balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt + lease obligations) ÷ stockholders equity. More accurate than native field, which often uses long-term debt only.
P/S1.8x
A-
P/S 1.8x — cheap for any tech/growth name
PEGproxy
PEG not meaningful — earnings growth negative or data unavailable · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Why now
Semiconductors · market cap $3.8b. Trading near 52-week high of $88.50 — momentum setup, limited technical margin of safety.
Moat
Semiconductor moat is process-design IP plus customer qualification timelines — once designed in, the company captures multiple product cycles before a competitor can displace.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$43m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Currently unprofitable (margin -9.4%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Trading within 1% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction.
Horizon
1-3 yr $118.07 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $175.91 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $457.75 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Shares to buy
22
Position size
$1,924
3.8% of portfolio
Stop price
$65.59
25% below $87.46
$ at risk
$500.00
1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

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