Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

SUZ analysis

Suzano S.A.Paper & Paper Products. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

SUZ
Suzano S.A. · Paper & Paper Products
FCF$951mC+
Rev+5.7%C+
D/E1.99D
P/E6.9xA
PEG
54.8Score
$8.78$10.8B
1Y Target$12.57Analyst consensus · 5 analysts
5Y Target$15.87Compound horizon
10Y Target$20.35Long-dated conviction
FCF$951mTTM · 03/26
C+
FCF $951m — respectable but not differentiating · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+5.7%TTM YoY
C+
Revenue +5.7% — steady but below market-beating range
D/E1.99
D
D/E 1.99 — most levered decile in Basic Materials (≈95th pctile)
P/E6.9x
A
P/E 6.9 — cheapest decile in Basic Materials (≈10th pctile)
PEG
PEG not meaningful — earnings growth negative or data unavailable

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 54.8
Quality61.9
Growth37.3
Value98.1
Why this score
  • Foreign reporter (BRL)
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
24% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value27% belowest. fair value ~$12
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~-3% a year for the next decade — vs the ~6% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability10% · Cgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC6.1% · C+return on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Paper & Paper Products · market cap $10.8b. Down 24% from 52-week high of $11.54 — deep drawdown territory. 5 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $12.57 (implying +43% upside).
Moat
Net margin 27% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 31% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
Value re-rating depends on a catalyst. Without one — analyst day, divestiture, margin recovery, capital return — the stock can stay cheap on these multiples for years.
Horizon
1-3 yr $12.57 (5-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $15.87 at ~13% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $20.35 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

SUZ vs the Top Picks average

PillarSUZBook avgDiff
Quality0.620.84-0.22
Growth0.370.84-0.47
Value0.980.78+0.20

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+1.4 over 47 daily scores
From 53.4 (Jun 22) → 54.8 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.0%
90-day change+0.0%
Forward EPS estimate$1.48

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect SUZ to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
227
Position size
$1,993
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$6.58
25% below $8.78
$ at risk if stopped
$498.26
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Suzano S.A. (SUZ): score, valuation & FAQ

Suzano S.A. (SUZ) is a Paper & Paper Products company that scores 54.8 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A), while D/E (D) rate weaker. On valuation, SUZ sits about 27% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -3% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is SUZ a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores SUZ 54.8 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by P/E (A). A score is a quantitative screen of Suzano S.A.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does SUZ score 54.8 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). SUZ earns its highest marks on P/E (A), and is held back by D/E (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is SUZ overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $8.78, SUZ sits about 27% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -3% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 6.9x P/E (graded A). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in SUZ?

Value re-rating depends on a catalyst. Without one — analyst day, divestiture, margin recovery, capital return — the stock can stay cheap on these multiples for years.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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