Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

SUZ analysis

Suzano SAPaper & Forest. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

SUZ
Suzano SA · Paper & Forest
FCF
Rev+0.1%C
D/E2.32D+
P/E4.6xA
PEG65.58D
69Score
$8.31
1Y Target$8.97Near-term target
5Y Target$11.12Compound horizon
10Y Target$14.19Long-dated conviction
FCFTTM
FCF not applicable for this sector (bank / insurer / REIT) or data unavailable
Rev+0.1%TTM YoY
C
Revenue +0.1% — flat, mature phase or headwinds present
D/E2.32
D+
D/E 2.32 — high leverage, material refinancing risk
P/E4.6x
A
P/E 4.6 — deep value; well below S&P median (~20x)
PEG65.58proxy
D
PEG 65.58 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Why now
Paper & Forest · market cap $52.2b. Down 86% from 52-week high of $59.65 — deep drawdown territory.
Moat
Net margin 23% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 25% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. $52.2b market cap gives the company enough scale to absorb fixed costs that subscale competitors can't, without yet being so large that growth has to come from acquisition.
Risk
D/E 2.32 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Down 86% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
Horizon
1-3 yr $8.97 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $11.12 at ~6% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $14.19 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Shares to buy
240
Position size
$1,994
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$6.23
25% below $8.31
$ at risk
$500.00
1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

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