Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

STEL analysis

Stellar Bancorp IncBanking. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

STEL
Stellar Bancorp Inc · Banking
FCF
Rev+155.8%A
D/E0.02A
P/E18.1xB
PEG0.12A
83Score
$37.47
1Y Target$43.09Near-term target
5Y Target$60.35Compound horizon
10Y Target$88.71Long-dated conviction
FCFTTM
FCF not applicable for this sector (bank / insurer / REIT) or data unavailable
Rev+155.8%TTM YoY
A
Revenue +155.8% — hypergrowth, top decile
D/E0.02
A
D/E 0.02 — essentially debt-free, pristine balance sheet
P/E18.1x
B
P/E 18.1 — moderate premium, defensible with growth
PEG0.12proxy
A
PEG 0.12 — exceptional; paying well under fair value for growth · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Why now
Banking · market cap $1.9b. 7% off the 52-week high of $40.21. Revenue growing +156% — in hypergrowth territory. PEG 0.12 — paying under fair value for the growth rate.
Moat
Net margin 22% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. Financial moat — scale of deposit base / underwriting franchise plus regulatory capital advantages. The largest players compound book value through cycles that erase smaller competitors.
Risk
ROE 6% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate. Balance-sheet financial — book value, net interest margin, and credit loss provisions are the lever points; a rates regime change or a deterioration in the loan book moves the stock more than EPS does.
Horizon
1-3 yr $43.09 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $60.35 at ~10% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $88.71 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Shares to buy
53
Position size
$1,986
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$28.10
25% below $37.47
$ at risk
$500.00
1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

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