1Y Target$159.65Near-term target
5Y Target$197.82Compound horizon
10Y Target$252.50Long-dated conviction
FCF$41mTTM · 09/24C-FCF $41m — barely positive; fragile cash position · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 09/24).
Rev-8.4%TTM YoYDRevenue -8.4% — meaningful contraction · TTM YoY from trailing-4-quarter revenue sum vs prior 4 quarters.
D/E1.06totalC+D/E 1.06 — moderately levered, watch interest coverage · Total D/E computed from balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt + lease obligations) ÷ stockholders equity. More accurate than native field, which often uses long-term debt only.
P/E11.1xA-P/E 11.1 — cheap relative to market and most sectors
PEG—proxy—PEG not meaningful — earnings growth negative or data unavailable · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Why now
Food Products · market cap $976m. 12% off the 52-week high of $167.51. Revenue -8% — in contraction; any catalyst that reverses this triggers re-rating.
Moat
ROE 14% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere.
Risk
Revenue contracting -8% — the operational turn is not yet visible in the top line.
Horizon
1-3 yr $159.65 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $197.82 at ~6% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $252.50 if the moat survives secular pressure.
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