★
OVV
Ovintiv Inc · Energy
FCF$1.7bC+
Rev-10.2%D
D/E0.46B+
P/E21.4xB
PEG——
75Score
$58.741Y Target$67.55Near-term target
5Y Target$94.60Compound horizon
10Y Target$139.06Long-dated conviction
FCF$1.7bTTM · 03/26C+
FCF $1.7b — respectable but not differentiating · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev-10.2%TTM YoYD
Revenue -10.2% — meaningful contraction · TTM YoY from trailing-4-quarter revenue sum vs prior 4 quarters.
D/E0.46totalB+
D/E 0.46 — healthy leverage, well below danger zone · Total D/E computed from balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt + lease obligations) ÷ stockholders equity. More accurate than native field, which often uses long-term debt only.
P/E21.4xB
P/E 21.4 — moderate premium, defensible with growth
PEG—proxy—
PEG not meaningful — earnings growth negative or data unavailable · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Why now
Energy · market cap $16.5b. 7% off the 52-week high of $63.46. Revenue -10% — in contraction; any catalyst that reverses this triggers re-rating.
Moat
Moat signals from the quantitative card are modest — profitability and capital efficiency are middle-of-pack. The thesis here depends on softer factors (switching costs, brand, distribution, regulatory protection) not captured by the 7-grade screen.
Risk
Revenue contracting -10% — the operational turn is not yet visible in the top line. ROE 7% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate. Hedge-book exposure — many commodity producers hedge forward production; if the hedge book is concentrated at prices well below spot, the upside the market expects is already locked away.
Horizon
1-3 yr $67.55 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $94.60 at ~10% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $139.06 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Position sizing · OVV
Shares to buy
34
Position size
$1,997
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$44.05
25% below $58.74
$ at risk
$500.00
1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.