Bull Rankings model

OneMain Holdings, Inc. (OMF) stock analysis

Credit Services. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
OMF
OneMain Holdings, Inc. · Credit Services
77.2Financial strength
$54.69Oct 14, 12:09 PM ET$6.3B
1Y Target$68.14Analyst consensus · 14 analysts
5Y Target$86.03Compound horizon
10Y Target$110.33Long-dated conviction
FCF$3.2bTTM · 06/26
B
FCF $3.2b — solid, comfortably covers operations and capital return · Trailing twelve months to 06/26 (operating cash flow − capex).
Rev+9.5%FY YoY
B
Revenue +9.5% — at or above S&P median · Computed from the last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E6.73
D
D/E 6.73 — most levered decile in Financial Services (≈95th pctile)
P/E8.2x
A-
P/E 8.2 — cheaper than most Financial Services peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG0.75
A-
PEG 0.75 — strong; the growth comes cheap

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Financial strength · 77.2 / 100
Profitability93.3
Value (P/B)51.3
Income79.5

A peer-relative read for financials on profitability (ROE), valuation, and covered income — the quality-growth (FCF/ROIC) screen doesn't apply to balance-sheet businesses. Not comparable to the 0–100 quality-growth score shown on other stocks.

Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
24% off the 12-month high

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Credit Services · market cap $6.3b. Down 24% from 52-week high of $71.93 — deep drawdown territory. PEG 0.75 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 14 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $68.14 (implying +25% upside).
Moat
Net margin 26% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 23% is above 15% — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. Free cash flow runs well ahead of reported net income.
Risk
D/E 6.73 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Regulatory capital risk — stricter capital requirements (CCAR, Basel) can force a dividend cut or a capital raise; the largest banks are most exposed because they're held to the tightest standards.
Horizon
1-3 yr $68.14 (14-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $86.03 at ~9% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $110.33 if the moat survives secular pressure.

Not enough history yet — the model records OMF's score after each daily run, and the chart appears once a few days have accumulated.

OMF at a glance

FINANCIAL STRENGTH · BANKPROFITABILITY93VALUE51COVERED INCOME7977.2/100 on our peer scale — not the quality-growth score.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$54.7LOW $45.8HIGH $71.9Trading at the 34th percentile of its 52-week range ($45.8–$71.9).
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock+5%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-0.9%
90-day change-0.7%
Forward EPS estimate$8.52

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect OMF to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
36
Position size
$1,969
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$41.02
25% below $54.69
$ at risk if stopped
$492.21
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

OneMain Holdings, Inc. (OMF): score, valuation & FAQ

OneMain Holdings, Inc. (OMF) is a Credit Services company. As a bank, insurer or REIT it runs on a different financial model from the rest of the market, so Bull Rankings grades it on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and cash-flow coverage — rather than the 0–100 quality-growth score used elsewhere. The read below is a transparent screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A-) and PEG (A-), while D/E (D) rate weaker.

Is OMF a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings grades OMF on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout and cash-flow coverage — rather than a single quality-growth score. That is driven by P/E (A-) and PEG (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of OneMain Holdings, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

How does Bull Rankings grade OMF?

As a bank, insurer or REIT, OMF isn't given a quality-growth score — signals like free cash flow, debt-to-equity and P/E don't translate cleanly to a balance-sheet business. Instead it's graded on a sector-appropriate card: price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and operating-cash-flow coverage, where it rates strongest on P/E (A-) and PEG (A-) and weakest on D/E (D).

Is OMF overvalued or undervalued?

We don't publish a discounted-cash-flow value for OMF, and not because the business is unprofitable. For a lender, insurer or property trust, "free cash flow" measures balance-sheet growth rather than owner earnings — loan originations and repayments run through operating cash flow — so discounting it would produce a confident-looking number with nothing behind it. OMF is judged on book value, return on equity and income cover instead, which is what the financial-strength card shows.

What are the main risks of investing in OMF?

D/E 6.73 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Regulatory capital risk — stricter capital requirements (CCAR, Basel) can force a dividend cut or a capital raise; the largest banks are most exposed because they're held to the tightest standards.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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