1Y Target$74.27Near-term target
5Y Target$104.01Compound horizon
10Y Target$152.88Long-dated conviction
FCF—TTM—FCF not applicable for this sector (bank / insurer / REIT) or data unavailable
Rev+0.9%TTM YoYCRevenue +0.9% — flat, mature phase or headwinds present
D/E0.38B+D/E 0.38 — healthy leverage, well below danger zone
P/E26.8xC+P/E 26.8 — elevated; requires sustained growth to justify
PEG29.16proxyDPEG 29.16 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Why now
Auto Components · market cap $24.9b. Down 32% from 52-week high of $95.18 — deep drawdown territory.
Moat
Moat signals from the quantitative card are modest — profitability and capital efficiency are middle-of-pack. The thesis here depends on softer factors (switching costs, brand, distribution, regulatory protection) not captured by the 7-grade screen.
Risk
Down 32% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.51 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Net margin 1.6% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
Horizon
1-3 yr $74.27 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $104.01 at ~10% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $152.88 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
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