1Y Target$134.33Near-term target
5Y Target$188.12Compound horizon
10Y Target$276.53Long-dated conviction
FCF$128mTTM · 12/25CFCF $128m — modest; watch for margin expansion · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 12/25).
Rev+4.4%TTM YoYC+Revenue +4.4% — steady but below market-beating range · TTM YoY from trailing-4-quarter revenue sum vs prior 4 quarters.
D/E0.02totalAD/E 0.02 — essentially debt-free, pristine balance sheet · Total D/E computed from balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt + lease obligations) ÷ stockholders equity. More accurate than native field, which often uses long-term debt only.
P/E19.0xBP/E 19.0 — moderate premium, defensible with growth
PEG4.33proxyDPEG 4.33 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Why now
Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure · market cap $2.1b. 4% off the 52-week high of $121.38.
Moat
Net margin 20% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 20% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately.
Risk
Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.
Horizon
1-3 yr $134.33 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $188.12 at ~10% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $276.53 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
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