1Y Target$13.29Near-term target
5Y Target$20.48Compound horizon
10Y Target$53.28Long-dated conviction
FCF$473mTTM · 03/26CFCF $473m — modest; watch for margin expansion · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+27.4%TTM YoYA-Revenue +27.4% — strong growth, well above S&P median (~7%)
D/E0.01AD/E 0.01 — essentially debt-free, pristine balance sheet
P/S4.3xBP/S 4.3x — in line with software/tech peers
PEG0.63A-PEG 0.63 — strong; Lynch's preferred zone
Why now
Auto Parts · market cap $8.6b. Down 50% from 52-week high of $20.18 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +27% — in hypergrowth territory. PEG 0.63 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 29 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $13.29 (implying +31% upside).
Moat
Speculative bucket — the moat thesis is forward-looking; without proven margin structure or capital efficiency yet, the durability argument is about IP / network effects / first-mover position that the company hasn't fully monetized.
Risk
Down 50% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. ROE -41% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Horizon
1-3 yr $13.29 (29-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $20.48 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $53.28 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See
terms and
methodology for full disclosures.