Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

MBC analysis

MasterBrand, Inc.Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

MBC
MasterBrand, Inc. · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances
FCF$74mC-
Rev-0.0%D+
D/E0.86B
P/S0.6xA-
PEG
24.9Score
$8.66$1.8B
1Y Target$10.36Analyst consensus · 3 analysts
5Y Target$18.12Compound horizon
10Y Target$32.38Long-dated conviction
FCF$74mTTM
C-
FCF $74m — barely positive; fragile cash position
Rev-0.0%TTM YoY
D+
Revenue -0.0% — shrinking; needs a catalyst to reverse
D/E0.86
B
D/E 0.86 — near the Consumer Cyclical debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/S0.6x
A-
P/S 0.6x — cheaper than most Consumer Cyclical peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG
PEG not meaningful — earnings growth negative or data unavailable

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 24.9
Quality26.4
Growth14.3
Value40.8
Why this score
  • Diluting shareholders
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
39% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value37% aboveest. fair value ~$6
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~23% a year for the next decade — vs the ~25% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability17% · C+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC-0.7% · Freturn on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
MasterBrand’s premium kitchen and bathroom cabinetry franchise in the U.S., Canada, and Mexico is anchored by a free‑cash‑flow stream of $74 m and a modest debt‑to‑equity of 0.86, giving the business a cash‑rich balance sheet to fund share‑count reductions. Our Bull Rankings model assigns a Quality‑Growth score of 24.9 with Value as the strongest pillar, indicating the stock is priced far below the cash generation implied by a reverse‑DCF growth assumption of ~23%/yr – a clear mispricing that the market has yet to correct. The thesis hinges on the continued capture of remodeling spend in the premium cabinet segment, where the company’s dealer‑network and semi‑custom product mix lock in repeat business and drive the cash‑flow upside needed to hit the 1‑yr consensus target of $10.36.
Moat
The company’s durable edge lies in its entrenched dealer and builder distribution network that sells stock, semi‑custom, and premium cabinetry directly to remodelers and new‑home builders, creating high switching costs for customers who have already invested in design specifications and inventory. This channel advantage, combined with a product portfolio that spans the full price spectrum, prevents competitors from quickly displacing MasterBrand in the fragmented residential cabinet market.
Risk
MasterBrand is posting a negative profit margin of -3.5% and a ROE of -4.9%, reflecting an earnings base that is eroding even as revenue growth stalls at 0%. The Bull Rankings model flags diluting shareholders and a beta of 1.44, signaling volatility and the risk that any further margin compression or equity issuance will crush the already thin cash‑flow cushion, confirming the bear case if free cash flow turns negative.
Horizon
1-3 yr $10.36 (3-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $18.12 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $32.38 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

MBC vs the Top Picks average

PillarMBCBook avgDiff
Quality0.260.83-0.57
Growth0.140.87-0.73
Value0.410.76-0.35

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.6). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+4.0 over 21 daily scores
From 20.9 (Jun 22) → 24.9 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

MBC at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD24.9/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY26.4GROWTH14.3VALUE40.8Reverse-DCF · Price implies ~23% growth a year from here.
PRICE vs OUR DCF FAIR VALUE$4.9$9.2FAIR-VALUE RANGE$8.7PRICEOur DCF fair value ~$6.3 · price $8.7 is 27% above it.
WHERE THIS SCORE SITS0255075100MBC 24.9Ranks above 10% of 1,827 scored names.
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock-31%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.

Every figure here comes from the same audited fundamentals behind the score. Charts drawn from data the score does not use say so on the card.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-5.9%
90-day change-5.9%
Forward EPS estimate$0.24

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect MBC to earn is materially lower (-5.9%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A fiscal-year roll fell inside this window: the forward horizon moved on to the next financial year, which shifts the earnings figure without any analyst changing their view. That step is excluded, so the number above covers the rest of the window rather than all of it.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
230
Position size
$1,992
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$6.50
25% below $8.66
$ at risk if stopped
$497.95
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

MasterBrand, Inc. (MBC): score, valuation & FAQ

MasterBrand, Inc. (MBC) is a Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances company that scores 24.9 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a weak reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/S (A-), while FCF (C-) and Rev (D+) rate weaker. On valuation, MBC sits about 37% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 23% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is MBC a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores MBC 24.9 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a weak reading. That is driven by P/S (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of MasterBrand, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does MBC score 24.9 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on value at 40.8 out of 100, with growth the weakest pillar at 14.3 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. MBC earns its highest marks on P/S (A-), and is held back by FCF (C-) and Rev (D+). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so MBC is measured against Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is MBC overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $8.66, MBC sits about 37% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 23% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in MBC?

MasterBrand is posting a negative profit margin of -3.5% and a ROE of -4.9%, reflecting an earnings base that is eroding even as revenue growth stalls at 0%. The Bull Rankings model flags diluting shareholders and a beta of 1.44, signaling volatility and the risk that any further margin compression or equity issuance will crush the already thin cash‑flow cushion, confirming the bear case if free cash flow turns negative.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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