★
LBRT
Liberty Energy Inc · Energy
FCF-$193mF
Rev-4.0%D+
D/E0.12A-
P/S1.3xA-
PEG——
63Score
$31.951Y Target$43.13Near-term target
5Y Target$64.26Compound horizon
10Y Target$167.22Long-dated conviction
FCF-$193mTTM · 03/26F
FCF is negative (-$193m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev-4.0%TTM YoYD+
Revenue -4.0% — shrinking; needs a catalyst to reverse · TTM YoY from trailing-4-quarter revenue sum vs prior 4 quarters.
D/E0.12totalA-
D/E 0.12 — conservative leverage, strong balance sheet · Total D/E computed from balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt + lease obligations) ÷ stockholders equity. More accurate than native field, which often uses long-term debt only.
P/S1.3xA-
P/S 1.3x — cheap for any tech/growth name
PEG—proxy—
PEG not meaningful — earnings growth negative or data unavailable · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Why now
Energy · market cap $5.2b. 7% off the 52-week high of $34.48.
Moat
Speculative bucket — the moat thesis is forward-looking; without proven margin structure or capital efficiency yet, the durability argument is about IP / network effects / first-mover position that the company hasn't fully monetized.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$193m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Trailing P/E 35x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates. Net margin 3.7% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
Horizon
1-3 yr $43.13 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $64.26 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $167.22 — return distribution heavily skewed.
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Position sizing · LBRT
Shares to buy
62
Position size
$1,981
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$23.96
25% below $31.95
$ at risk
$500.00
1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.