1Y Target$66.85Near-term target
5Y Target$93.62Compound horizon
10Y Target$137.61Long-dated conviction
FCF$245mFY2025CFCF $245m — modest; watch for margin expansion · From reported FY2025 10-K (OCF − CapEx); TTM not fully reconstructable from free tier.
Rev+6.5%TTM YoYC+Revenue +6.5% — steady but below market-beating range
D/E1.23totalC+D/E 1.23 — moderately levered, watch interest coverage · Total D/E computed from balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt + lease obligations) ÷ stockholders equity. More accurate than native field, which often uses long-term debt only.
P/E23.2xBP/E 23.2 — moderate premium, defensible with growth
PEG3.58proxyDPEG 3.58 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Why now
Utilities · market cap $2.4b. 6% off the 52-week high of $61.87.
Moat
Net margin 13% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent.
Risk
ROE 7% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Horizon
1-3 yr $66.85 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $93.62 at ~10% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $137.61 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
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