★
GT
Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co · Auto Components
FCF-$126mF
Rev-6.6%D
D/E1.80C
P/S0.1xA
PEG——
54Score
$6.031Y Target$8.14Near-term target
5Y Target$12.13Compound horizon
10Y Target$31.56Long-dated conviction
FCF-$126mTTM · 03/26F
FCF is negative (-$126m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev-6.6%TTM YoYD
Revenue -6.6% — meaningful contraction · TTM YoY from trailing-4-quarter revenue sum vs prior 4 quarters.
D/E1.80totalC
D/E 1.80 — elevated leverage, limits flexibility · Total D/E computed from balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt + lease obligations) ÷ stockholders equity. More accurate than native field, which often uses long-term debt only.
P/S0.1xA
P/S 0.1x — deep value on sales
PEG—proxy—
PEG not meaningful — earnings growth negative or data unavailable · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Why now
Auto Components · market cap $1.7b. Down 50% from 52-week high of $12.03 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue -7% — in contraction; any catalyst that reverses this triggers re-rating.
Moat
Speculative bucket — the moat thesis is forward-looking; without proven margin structure or capital efficiency yet, the durability argument is about IP / network effects / first-mover position that the company hasn't fully monetized.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$126m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Revenue contracting -7% — the operational turn is not yet visible in the top line. Currently unprofitable (margin -11.6%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk.
Horizon
1-3 yr $8.14 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $12.13 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $31.56 — return distribution heavily skewed.
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Position sizing · GT
Shares to buy
331
Position size
$1,996
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$4.52
25% below $6.03
$ at risk
$500.00
1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.