1Y Target$14.72Near-term target
5Y Target$20.61Compound horizon
10Y Target$30.30Long-dated conviction
FCF$39mTTM · 03/26C-FCF $39m — barely positive; fragile cash position · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+18.7%TTM YoYB+Revenue +18.7% — above sector median, healthy trajectory · TTM YoY from trailing-4-quarter revenue sum vs prior 4 quarters.
D/E0.14totalA-D/E 0.14 — conservative leverage, strong balance sheet · Total D/E computed from balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt + lease obligations) ÷ stockholders equity. More accurate than native field, which often uses long-term debt only.
P/E51.5xD+P/E 51.5 — expensive; prices in flawless execution
PEG2.76proxyCPEG 2.76 — expensive relative to growth rate · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Why now
Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods · market cap $2.1b. Down 27% from 52-week high of $17.48 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +19%, comfortably above the S&P median.
Moat
Moat signals from the quantitative card are modest — profitability and capital efficiency are middle-of-pack. The thesis here depends on softer factors (switching costs, brand, distribution, regulatory protection) not captured by the 7-grade screen.
Risk
Trailing P/E 51.5x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating.
Horizon
1-3 yr $14.72 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $20.61 at ~10% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $30.30 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
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