Bull Rankings model

FirstEnergy Corp. (FE) stock analysis

Utilities - Regulated Electric. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
FE
FirstEnergy Corp. · Utilities - Regulated Electric
56.8Score
$45.00Oct 9 close$26.0B
1Y Target$52.67Analyst consensus · 12 analysts
5Y Target$92.11Compound horizon
10Y Target$164.63Long-dated conviction
FCF-$1.7bTTM · 03/26
F
FCF is negative (-$1.7b) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names · TTM from SEC filings (OCF − CapEx), four quarters to 03/26.
Rev+11.3%TTM YoY
B
Revenue +11.3% — at or above S&P median · Latest four quarters of revenue vs the four before them, from SEC filings.
D/E2.01
C
D/E 2.01 — more levered than most Utilities peers (≈90th pctile)
P/S*1.7x
B+
P/S 1.7x — below the Utilities median (≈40th pctile)
PEG1.49
B
PEG 1.49 — acceptable premium for growth

* P/S replaces P/E — no positive earnings to divide by

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 56.8
Quality55.3
Growth70.3
Value47.1
Why this score
  • Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
14% off the 12-month high
Quality signals
ROIC12.3% · B+return on invested capital — leads the quality score

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Utilities - Regulated Electric · market cap $26.0b. 14% off the 52-week high of $52.34. Revenue growing +11%, comfortably above the S&P median. 12 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $52.67 (implying +17% upside).
Moat
Higher-variance name — the moat signals on the quantitative card are modest, so the durability case rests on execution (turning current growth into durable earnings power) or an un-monetized asset (IP / network effects / first-mover position) rather than an entrenched competitive position.
Risk
D/E 2.01 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Free cash flow is negative (-$1.7b) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Dividend payout 96% of earnings on a 4.2% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut.
Horizon
1-3 yr $52.67 (12-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $92.11 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $164.63 — return distribution heavily skewed.

FE vs the Top Picks average

PillarFEBook avgDiff
Quality5583-28
Growth7089-19
Value4776-29

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
-6.0 over 82 daily scores
From 62.8 (Jun 22) → 56.8 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

FE at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD56.8/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY55.3GROWTH70.3VALUE47.1
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$45LOW $42.7HIGH $52.3Trading at the 24th percentile of its 52-week range ($42.7–$52.3).
WHERE THIS SCORE SITS0255075100FE 56.8Top 34% of 1,709 companies on the quality-growth score.
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock-4%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-0.1%
90-day change+0.0%
Forward EPS estimate$2.95

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect FE to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
44
Position size
$1,980
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$33.75
25% below $45.00
$ at risk if stopped
$495.00
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

FirstEnergy Corp. (FE): score, valuation & FAQ

FirstEnergy Corp. (FE) is a Utilities - Regulated Electric company that scores 56.8 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/S (B+), while FCF (F) rate weaker.

Is FE a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores FE 56.8 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by P/S (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of FirstEnergy Corp.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does FE score 56.8 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on growth at 70.3 out of 100, with value the weakest pillar at 47.1 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. FE earns its highest marks on P/S (B+), and is held back by FCF (F). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so FE is measured against Utilities - Regulated Electric peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is FE overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for FE — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in FE?

D/E 2.01 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Free cash flow is negative (-$1.7b) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Dividend payout 96% of earnings on a 4.2% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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