Bull Rankings model

Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK) stock analysis

Oil & Gas E&P. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
CRK
Comstock Resources, Inc. · Oil & Gas E&P
54.0Score
$13.71Oct 9 close$4.0B
1Y Target$15.96Analyst consensus · 14 analysts
5Y Target$27.92Compound horizon
10Y Target$49.90Long-dated conviction
FCF-$735mTTM · 06/26
F
FCF is negative (-$735m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names · Trailing twelve months to 06/26 (operating cash flow − capex).
Rev+53.8%FY YoY
A
Revenue +53.8% — hypergrowth, top decile · Computed from the last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E1.00
C
D/E 1.00 — more levered than most Energy peers (≈90th pctile)
P/S*2.1x
B
P/S 2.1x — near the Energy median (≈60th pctile)
PEG4.64
D
PEG 4.64 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios

* P/S replaces P/E — no positive earnings to divide by

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 54
Quality49.0
Growth50.0
Value64.1
Why this score
  • Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
51% off the 12-month high

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Oil & Gas E&P · market cap $4.0b. Down 51% from 52-week high of $28.10 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +54% — in hypergrowth territory. 14 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $15.96 (implying +16% upside).
Moat
Net margin 27% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 19% is above 15% — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$735m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Down 51% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Hedge-book exposure — many commodity producers hedge forward production; if the hedge book is concentrated at prices well below spot, the upside the market expects is already locked away.
Horizon
1-3 yr $15.96 (14-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $27.92 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $49.90 — return distribution heavily skewed.

CRK vs the Top Picks average

PillarCRKBook avgDiff
Quality4983-34
Growth5089-39
Value6476-12

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
+8.5 over 80 daily scores
From 45.5 (Jun 22) → 54.0 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

CRK at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD54.0/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY49.0GROWTH50.0VALUE64.1
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$13.7LOW $12.1HIGH $28.1Trading near its 52-week low ($12.1–$28.1).
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock-26%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.
WHERE THIS SCORE SITS0255075100CRK 54.0Top 39% of 1,709 companies on the quality-growth score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-9.8%
90-day change-20.4%
Forward EPS estimate$0.63

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect CRK to earn is materially lower (-20.4%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A fiscal-year roll fell inside this window: the forward horizon moved on to the next financial year, which shifts the earnings figure without any analyst changing their view. That step is excluded, so the number above covers the rest of the window rather than all of it.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
145
Position size
$1,988
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$10.28
25% below $13.71
$ at risk if stopped
$496.99
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK): score, valuation & FAQ

Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK) is an Oil & Gas E&P company that scores 54 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A), while PEG (D) and FCF (F) rate weaker.

Is CRK a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores CRK 54 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by Rev (A). A score is a quantitative screen of Comstock Resources, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does CRK score 54 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on value at 64.1 out of 100, with quality the weakest pillar at 49.0 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. CRK earns its highest marks on Rev (A), and is held back by PEG (D) and FCF (F). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so CRK is measured against Oil & Gas E&P peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is CRK overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for CRK — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in CRK?

Free cash flow is negative (-$735m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Down 51% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Hedge-book exposure — many commodity producers hedge forward production; if the hedge book is concentrated at prices well below spot, the upside the market expects is already locked away.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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