Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

CRK analysis

Comstock Resources, Inc.Oil & Gas E&P. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

CRK
Comstock Resources, Inc. · Oil & Gas E&P
FCF-$735mF
Rev+31.6%A
D/E1.00C
P/S1.9xB
PEG4.64D
44.6Score
$14.22$4.2B
1Y Target$15.04Analyst consensus · 12 analysts
5Y Target$26.31Compound horizon
10Y Target$47.02Long-dated conviction
FCF-$735mTTM
F
FCF is negative (-$735m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names
Rev+31.6%TTM YoY
A
Revenue +31.6% — hypergrowth, top decile
D/E1.00
C
D/E 1.00 — more levered than most Energy peers (≈90th pctile)
P/S1.9x
B
P/S 1.9x — near the Energy median (≈60th pctile)
PEG4.64
D
PEG 4.64 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 44.6
Quality51.2
Growth50.0
Value34.6
Why this score
  • Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
49% off the 12-month high
Quality signals · context only
ROIC8.4% · Breturn on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Oil & Gas E&P · market cap $4.2b. Down 49% from 52-week high of $28.10 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +32% — in hypergrowth territory. 12 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $15.04 (implying +6% upside).
Moat
Net margin 23% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 20% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$735m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Down 49% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Hedge-book exposure — many commodity producers hedge forward production; if the hedge book is concentrated at prices well below spot, the upside the market expects is already locked away.
Horizon
1-3 yr $15.04 (12-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $26.31 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $47.02 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

CRK vs the Top Picks average

PillarCRKBook avgDiff
Quality0.510.84-0.33
Growth0.500.84-0.34
Value0.350.78-0.44

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-0.9 over 45 daily scores
From 45.5 (Jun 22) → 44.6 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-19.7%
90-day change-28.6%
Forward EPS estimate$0.87

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect CRK to earn is materially lower (-28.6%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
140
Position size
$1,991
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$10.67
25% below $14.22
$ at risk if stopped
$497.70
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK): score, valuation & FAQ

Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK) is a Oil & Gas E&P company that scores 44.6 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A), while PEG (D) and FCF (F) rate weaker.

Is CRK a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores CRK 44.6 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. That is driven by Rev (A). A score is a quantitative screen of Comstock Resources, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does CRK score 44.6 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). CRK earns its highest marks on Rev (A), and is held back by PEG (D) and FCF (F). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is CRK overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for CRK — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in CRK?

Free cash flow is negative (-$735m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Down 49% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Hedge-book exposure — many commodity producers hedge forward production; if the hedge book is concentrated at prices well below spot, the upside the market expects is already locked away.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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