Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

CAR analysis

Avis Budget Group, Inc.Rental & Leasing Services. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

CAR
Avis Budget Group, Inc. · Rental & Leasing Services
FCF-$11.4bF
Rev+0.7%C
D/E
P/S0.4xA
PEG0.17A
39.4Score
$139.49$4.9B
1Y Target$129.14Analyst consensus · 7 analysts
5Y Target$225.87Compound horizon
10Y Target$403.68Long-dated conviction
FCF-$11.4bTTM · 06/26
F
FCF is negative (-$11.4b) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 06/26).
Rev+0.7%TTM YoY
C
Revenue +0.7% — flat, mature phase or headwinds present
D/E
D/E data unavailable — neutral default
P/S0.4x
A
P/S 0.4x — cheapest decile in Industrials (≈10th pctile)
PEG0.17
A
PEG 0.17 — exceptional; paying well under fair value for growth

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 39.4
Quality42.9
Growth20.2
Value70.6
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
84% off the 12-month high

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Rental & Leasing Services · market cap $4.9b. Down 84% from 52-week high of $847.70 — deep drawdown territory. PEG 0.17 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 7 sell-side analysts publish a mean 1-yr target of $129.14 (implying -7% upside).
Moat
ROE 20% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$11.4b) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Currently unprofitable (margin -5.7%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 84% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
Horizon
1-3 yr $129.14 (7-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $225.87 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $403.68 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

CAR vs the Top Picks average

PillarCARBook avgDiff
Quality0.430.83-0.41
Growth0.200.87-0.67
Value0.710.76-0.06

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.6). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-9.6 over 49 daily scores
From 49.0 (Jun 22) → 39.4 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

CAR at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD39.4/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY42.9GROWTH20.2VALUE70.6
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$139$86 LOWHIGH $848Trading near its 52-week low ($86–$848).
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock-9%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.
WHERE THIS SCORE SITS0255075100CAR 39.4Ranks above 28% of 1,827 scored names.

Every figure here comes from the same audited fundamentals behind the score. Charts drawn from data the score does not use say so on the card.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.0%
90-day change+3.3%
Forward EPS estimate$6.05

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect CAR to earn is drifting higher (+3.3%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A fiscal-year roll fell inside this window: the forward horizon moved on to the next financial year, which shifts the earnings figure without any analyst changing their view. That step is excluded, so the number above covers the rest of the window rather than all of it.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
14
Position size
$1,953
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$104.62
25% below $139.49
$ at risk if stopped
$488.22
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Latest CAR developments

Recent headlines from across the financial press · updated daily. Links open the source.

Avis Budget Group, Inc. (CAR): score, valuation & FAQ

Avis Budget Group, Inc. (CAR) is a Rental & Leasing Services company that scores 39.4 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/S (A) and PEG (A), while FCF (F) rate weaker.

Is CAR a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores CAR 39.4 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. That is driven by P/S (A) and PEG (A). A score is a quantitative screen of Avis Budget Group, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does CAR score 39.4 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on value at 70.6 out of 100, with growth the weakest pillar at 20.2 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. CAR earns its highest marks on P/S (A) and PEG (A), and is held back by FCF (F). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so CAR is measured against Rental & Leasing Services peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is CAR overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for CAR — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in CAR?

Free cash flow is negative (-$11.4b) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Currently unprofitable (margin -5.7%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 84% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

More Rental & Leasing stocks by score

All Industrials rankings →

Analyze another ticker →