Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

CAI analysis

Caris Life Sciences, Inc.Biotechnology. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

CAI
Caris Life Sciences, Inc. · Biotechnology
FCF$124mC
Rev+85.4%A
D/E0.76C+
P/E2.7xA
PEG0.02A
68.5Score
$26.27$7.4B
1Y Target$27.00Analyst consensus · 12 analysts
5Y Target$34.09Compound horizon
10Y Target$43.72Long-dated conviction
FCF$124mTTM · 06/26
C
FCF $124m — modest; watch for margin expansion · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 06/26).
Rev+85.4%TTM YoY
A
Revenue +85.4% — hypergrowth, top decile
D/E0.76
C+
D/E 0.76 — above the Healthcare debt median (≈75th pctile)
P/E2.7x
A
P/E 2.7 — cheapest decile in Healthcare (≈10th pctile)
PEG0.02est.
A
PEG 0.02 — exceptional; paying well under fair value for growth · PEG derived: P/E ÷ forward 1-year analyst EPS growth, because this name has no vendor-supplied PEG. Same earnings-growth basis as the reported figure on other rows.

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 68.5
Quality65.7
Growth67.6
Value72.3
Why this score
  • Short track record
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
35% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value155% aboveest. fair value ~$10
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~40% a year for the next decade — vs the ~25% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
ROIC12.3% · B+return on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Biotechnology · market cap $7.4b. Down 35% from 52-week high of $40.40 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +85% — in hypergrowth territory. PEG 0.02 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 12 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $27.00 (implying +3% upside).
Moat
ROE 18% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. FCF converts 118% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined. Pharma moat is patent runway + pipeline depth — a single approved molecule funds the next generation of bets. Late-stage trials carry binary readouts that swing valuation 30%+.
Risk
Down 35% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Trial-readout binary — late-stage clinical trials carry approve/reject outcomes that swing valuation 30%+; the equity is effectively a portfolio of these binary events, not a steady cash-flow business.
Horizon
1-3 yr $27.00 (12-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $34.09 at ~5% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $43.72 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

CAI vs the Top Picks average

PillarCAIBook avgDiff
Quality0.660.84-0.18
Growth0.680.84-0.16
Value0.720.78-0.06

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+10.9 over 47 daily scores
From 57.6 (Jun 22) → 68.5 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+6.2%
90-day change+1.4%
Forward EPS estimate$0.38

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect CAI to earn is drifting higher (+1.4%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
76
Position size
$1,997
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$19.70
25% below $26.27
$ at risk if stopped
$499.13
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Caris Life Sciences, Inc. (CAI): score, valuation & FAQ

Caris Life Sciences, Inc. (CAI) is a Biotechnology company that scores 68.5 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A), P/E (A) and PEG (A). On valuation, CAI sits about 155% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 40% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is CAI a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores CAI 68.5 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by Rev (A), P/E (A) and PEG (A). A score is a quantitative screen of Caris Life Sciences, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does CAI score 68.5 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). CAI earns its highest marks on Rev (A), P/E (A) and PEG (A). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is CAI overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $26.27, CAI sits about 155% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 40% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 2.7x P/E (graded A). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in CAI?

Down 35% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Trial-readout binary — late-stage clinical trials carry approve/reject outcomes that swing valuation 30%+; the equity is effectively a portfolio of these binary events, not a steady cash-flow business.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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