Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

ARX analysis

Accelerant HoldingsInsurance Brokers. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

ARX
Accelerant Holdings · Insurance Brokers
FCF
Rev+59.7%A
D/E0.17A-
P/S3.9xB
PEG
81Score
$16.93
1Y Target$19.06Near-term target
5Y Target$34.05Compound horizon
10Y Target$88.61Long-dated conviction
FCF
FCF not applicable for this sector (bank / insurer / REIT) or data unavailable
Rev+59.7%TTM YoY
A
Revenue +59.7% — hypergrowth, top decile
D/E0.17
A-
D/E 0.17 — conservative leverage, strong balance sheet
P/S3.9x
B
P/S 3.9x — in line with software/tech peers
PEG
PEG not meaningful — earnings growth negative or data unavailable
Why now
Insurance Brokers · market cap $3.7b. Down 46% from 52-week high of $31.18 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +60% — in hypergrowth territory. 9 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $19.06 (implying +13% upside).
Moat
Financial moat — scale of deposit base / underwriting franchise plus regulatory capital advantages. The largest players compound book value through cycles that erase smaller competitors.
Risk
Down 46% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Regulatory capital risk — stricter capital requirements (CCAR, Basel) can force a dividend cut or a capital raise; the largest banks are most exposed because they're held to the tightest standards.
Horizon
1-3 yr $19.06 (9-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $34.05 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $88.61 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Shares to buy
118
Position size
$1,998
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$12.70
25% below $16.93
$ at risk
$500.00
1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

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