★
APPS
Digital Turbine Inc · Technology
FCF$11mC-
Rev+15.2%B+
D/E1.88C
P/S1.9xA-
PEG——
66Score
$8.791Y Target$11.87Near-term target
5Y Target$17.68Compound horizon
10Y Target$46.01Long-dated conviction
FCF$11mTTM · 03/26C-
FCF $11m — barely positive; fragile cash position · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+15.2%TTM YoYB+
Revenue +15.2% — above sector median, healthy trajectory · TTM YoY from trailing-4-quarter revenue sum vs prior 4 quarters.
D/E1.88totalC
D/E 1.88 — elevated leverage, limits flexibility · Total D/E computed from balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt + lease obligations) ÷ stockholders equity. More accurate than native field, which often uses long-term debt only.
P/S1.9xA-
P/S 1.9x — cheap for any tech/growth name
PEG—proxy—
PEG not meaningful — earnings growth negative or data unavailable · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Why now
Technology · market cap $1.1b. 5% off the 52-week high of $9.26. Revenue growing +15%, comfortably above the S&P median.
Moat
Speculative bucket — the moat thesis is forward-looking; without proven margin structure or capital efficiency yet, the durability argument is about IP / network effects / first-mover position that the company hasn't fully monetized.
Risk
Currently unprofitable (margin -6.7%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Beta 2.84 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. ROE -22% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Horizon
1-3 yr $11.87 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $17.68 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $46.01 — return distribution heavily skewed.
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Position sizing · APPS
Shares to buy
227
Position size
$1,995
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$6.59
25% below $8.79
$ at risk
$500.00
1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.