★
AMRC
Ameresco Inc · Construction
FCF-$4mF
Rev-1.0%D+
D/E1.61C
P/S0.8xA
PEG——
58Score
$31.771Y Target$42.89Near-term target
5Y Target$63.90Compound horizon
10Y Target$166.28Long-dated conviction
FCF-$4mTTM · 03/26F
FCF is negative (-$4m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev-1.0%TTM YoYD+
Revenue -1.0% — shrinking; needs a catalyst to reverse · TTM YoY from trailing-4-quarter revenue sum vs prior 4 quarters.
D/E1.61totalC
D/E 1.61 — elevated leverage, limits flexibility · Total D/E computed from balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt + lease obligations) ÷ stockholders equity. More accurate than native field, which often uses long-term debt only.
P/S0.8xA
P/S 0.8x — deep value on sales
PEG—proxy—
PEG not meaningful — earnings growth negative or data unavailable · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Why now
Construction · market cap $1.7b. Down 29% from 52-week high of $44.93 — deep drawdown territory.
Moat
Speculative bucket — the moat thesis is forward-looking; without proven margin structure or capital efficiency yet, the durability argument is about IP / network effects / first-mover position that the company hasn't fully monetized.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$4m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Trailing P/E 53.4x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating. Beta 2.56 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Horizon
1-3 yr $42.89 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $63.90 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $166.28 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Position sizing · AMRC
Shares to buy
62
Position size
$1,970
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$23.83
25% below $31.77
$ at risk
$500.00
1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.