★
AMPL
Amplitude Inc · Technology
FCF$25mC-
Rev+20.3%A-
D/E0.03A
P/S2.9xA-
PEG——
71Score
$7.831Y Target$10.57Near-term target
5Y Target$15.75Compound horizon
10Y Target$40.98Long-dated conviction
FCF$25mTTM · 03/26C-
FCF $25m — barely positive; fragile cash position · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+20.3%TTM YoYA-
Revenue +20.3% — strong growth, well above S&P median (~7%) · TTM YoY from trailing-4-quarter revenue sum vs prior 4 quarters.
D/E0.03totalA
D/E 0.03 — essentially debt-free, pristine balance sheet · Total D/E computed from balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt + lease obligations) ÷ stockholders equity. More accurate than native field, which often uses long-term debt only.
P/S2.9xA-
P/S 2.9x — cheap for any tech/growth name
PEG—proxy—
PEG not meaningful — earnings growth negative or data unavailable · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Why now
Technology · market cap $1.0b. Down 46% from 52-week high of $14.49 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +20%, comfortably above the S&P median.
Moat
Speculative bucket — the moat thesis is forward-looking; without proven margin structure or capital efficiency yet, the durability argument is about IP / network effects / first-mover position that the company hasn't fully monetized.
Risk
Currently unprofitable (margin -25.1%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 46% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.46 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Horizon
1-3 yr $10.57 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $15.75 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $40.98 — return distribution heavily skewed.
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Position sizing · AMPL
Shares to buy
255
Position size
$1,997
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$5.87
25% below $7.83
$ at risk
$500.00
1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.