★
AEHR
Aehr Test Systems · Semiconductors
FCF-$12mF
Rev-26.4%F
D/E0.09A
P/S76.4xD
PEG——
50Score
$109.921Y Target$148.39Near-term target
5Y Target$221.09Compound horizon
10Y Target$575.30Long-dated conviction
FCF-$12mTTM · 02/26F
FCF is negative (-$12m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 02/26).
Rev-26.4%TTM YoYF
Revenue -26.4% — severe decline · TTM YoY from trailing-4-quarter revenue sum vs prior 4 quarters.
D/E0.09totalA
D/E 0.09 — essentially debt-free, pristine balance sheet · Total D/E computed from balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt + lease obligations) ÷ stockholders equity. More accurate than native field, which often uses long-term debt only.
P/S76.4xD
P/S 76.4x — extreme, prices in flawless execution
PEG—proxy—
PEG not meaningful — earnings growth negative or data unavailable · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Why now
Semiconductors · market cap $3.5b. Trading near 52-week high of $108.75 — momentum setup, limited technical margin of safety. Revenue -26% — in contraction; any catalyst that reverses this triggers re-rating.
Moat
Semiconductor moat is process-design IP plus customer qualification timelines — once designed in, the company captures multiple product cycles before a competitor can displace.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$12m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Revenue contracting -26% — the operational turn is not yet visible in the top line. Currently unprofitable (margin -25.2%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk.
Horizon
1-3 yr $148.39 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $221.09 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $575.30 — return distribution heavily skewed.
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Position sizing · AEHR
Shares to buy
18
Position size
$1,979
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$82.44
25% below $109.92
$ at risk
$500.00
1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.