Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. ZTO scored 64.9, SKYW scored 68.4 — SKYW leads.
Compare another set
Different reporting periods. SKYW's fundamentals are as of June 2026, but ZTO's are as of December 2025 — a 6-month gap. Growth, margin and valuation figures below therefore describe different windows and aren't strictly like-for-like.
ZTO
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.
Integrated Freight & Logistics · Quality-Growth
64.9
$20.15 · $15.1B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
3.5
SKYW leads
SKYW
SkyWest, Inc.
Airlines · Quality-Growth
68.4
$96.52 · $3.7B
fundamentals as of
At a glance · who leads each dimension, on the model's own rules
CheapestSKYW9.6x
Fastest growthZTO+10.9%
Strongest balance sheetZTO0.35
Highest qualityZTO76 / 100
Largest discount to fair valueSKYW-69%
Side by side · every name on one set of axes
Growth against the P/E multiple. Up and to the right is cheaper and faster — the quality-growth idea in one picture. Points beyond the axis are pinned to the edge and marked off-scale rather than allowed to compress everything else.
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
ZTO
stronger →← stronger
SKYW
76
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
71
80
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
50
81
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
91
ZTO is stronger on 2 of 3 pillars.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
ZTO
SKYW
$891mC+
FCF
$909mC+
+10.9%B
Rev
+9.1%B
0.35A-
D/E
0.86C+
11.0xA
P/E
9.6xA
1.01B+
PEG
1.66C+
Winner per row is the stronger grade; where grades tie, the better figure breaks it. A true tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
ZTO
SKYW
3% below
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
69% below
~7%/yr
Growth the price impliesyr-1 FCF growth, fading to 4% · lower = less priced in
~-20%/yr
-6%
1-yr DCF upside
+187%
+3%
5-yr DCF upside
+224%
+18%
10-yr DCF upside
+284%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Integrated Freight & Logistics · market cap $15.1b. Down 23% from 52-week high of $26.20 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +11%, comfortably above the S&P median. 18 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $27.88 (implying +38% upside).
Moat
Net margin 18% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 14% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere.
Risk
Value re-rating depends on a catalyst. Without one — analyst day, divestiture, margin recovery, capital return — the stock can stay cheap on these multiples for years.
SKYWSkyWest, Inc.
Airlines · $96.52 · beta 1.48
Why now
Airlines · market cap $3.7b. 18% off the 52-week high of $117.72. 6 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $125.33 (implying +30% upside).
Moat
ROE 15% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. Free cash flow runs well ahead of reported net income.
Risk
Beta 1.48 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Where ZTO and SKYW diverge
On the headline score the gap is 3.5 points in favor of SKYW. They get there differently, though — each leads on a different pillar, so the better pick depends on which you weight.
GrowthZTO 79.8 · SKYW 50.0ZTO +29.8
ValueZTO 81.3 · SKYW 90.9SKYW +9.6
QualityZTO 76.3 · SKYW 70.5ZTO +5.8
Pillars run 0–100. Value is judged against each company's own sector, so a Value score is a statement about a company relative to its own industry rather than to the other name here. A wide Value gap usually means the market already prices the difference in quality or growth — which is the trade-off this comparison comes down to.
Common questions
Is SKYW or ZTO the better stock?
SKYW scores higher: SKYW 68.4, ZTO 64.9 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth score, which blends business quality, growth and valuation into one number. A higher score means a stronger business at a more reasonable price — it is not a price target or a recommendation.
Where do SKYW and ZTO differ most?
The widest gap is growth, where ZTO leads by 30 points on the 0–100 pillar scale. Neither name sweeps: they trade the lead across the three pillars, so the comparison is a trade-off rather than one being better on every measure.
How are SKYW and ZTO scored?
Each carries the same 0–100 quality-growth score used everywhere on the site, built from three pillars — quality (profitability and returns on capital), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (what you pay for them) — combined as a geometric mean, so a weak pillar cannot be papered over by a strong one.
How current is this comparison?
The whole universe is re-scored every trading day after the US market close, so the scores and fundamentals here reflect the latest published edition.