COMPARE · Data as of August 24, 2026
DLTR vs TGT
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. DLTR scored 61.1, TGT scored 35.9 — DLTR leads.
Compare another set
DLTR
Dollar Tree, Inc.
61.1
$136.75 · $26.3B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
25.2
DLTR leads
TGT
Target Corporation
35.9
$169.89 · $77.2B
fundamentals as of
At a glance · who leads each dimension, on the model's own rules
- CheapestTGT17.2x
- Fastest growthDLTR+9.4%
- Strongest balance sheetTGT1.07
- Highest qualityDLTR78 / 100
- Largest discount to fair valueDLTR-15%
Side by side · every name on one set of axes
Growth against the P/E multiple. Up and to the right is cheaper and faster — the quality-growth idea in one picture. Points beyond the axis are pinned to the edge and marked off-scale rather than allowed to compress everything else.
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
DLTR
stronger →← stronger
TGT
78
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
65
67
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
25
44
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
29
DLTR is stronger on 3 of 3 pillars.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
DLTR
TGT
$1.3bC+
FCF
$3.0bB
+9.4%B
Rev
+0.5%C
2.17C
D/E
1.07C+
22.0xB
P/E
17.2xB+
1.64C+
PEG
2.82C
Winner per row is the stronger grade; where grades tie, the better figure breaks it. A true tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
DLTR
TGT
15% below
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
104% above
~3%/yr
Growth the price implies10-yr FCF · lower = less priced in
~16%/yr
+7%
1-yr DCF upside
-46%
+18%
5-yr DCF upside
-51%
+35%
10-yr DCF upside
-58%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
DLTR
Why this score
- Buying back stock
- Durable high returns
TGT
Why this score
- Durable high returns
The companies
DLTRDollar Tree, Inc.
Why now
Discount Stores · market cap $26.3b. 4% off the 52-week high of $142.40. 25 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $130.04 (implying -5% upside).
Moat
ROE 37% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 102% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
D/E 2.17 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer.
TGTTarget Corporation
Why now
Discount Stores · market cap $77.2b. Trading near 52-week high of $170.75 — momentum setup, limited technical margin of safety. 34 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $161.62 (implying -5% upside).
Moat
ROE 21% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. $77.2b market cap gives the company enough scale to absorb fixed costs that subscale competitors can't, without yet being so large that growth has to come from acquisition.
Risk
Trading within 1% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction. Net margin 3.2% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Where DLTR and TGT diverge
On the headline score the gap is 25.2 points in favor of DLTR. The widest single difference is Growth, where DLTR leads by 42.4 points.
- GrowthDLTR 67.1 · TGT 24.7DLTR +42.4
- ValueDLTR 43.5 · TGT 28.7DLTR +14.8
- QualityDLTR 78.1 · TGT 65.3DLTR +12.8
Pillars run 0–100 against sector peers, so a score is a statement about a company relative to its own industry rather than to the other name here. A wide Value gap usually means the market already prices the difference in quality or growth — which is the trade-off this comparison comes down to.