Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. TFPM scored 61.7, AYA scored 70.4 — AYA leads.
Compare another set
TFPM
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp.
Other Precious Metals & Mining · Quality-Growth
61.7
$31.21 · $6.4B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
8.7
AYA leads
AYA
Aya Gold & Silver Inc.
Silver · Quality-Growth
70.4
$27.42 · $3.9B
fundamentals as of
At a glance · who leads each dimension, on the model's own rules
CheapestTFPM15.7x
Fastest growthAYA+416.7%
Strongest balance sheetTFPM0.10
Highest qualityAYA93 / 100
Side by side · every name on one set of axes
Growth against the P/E multiple. Up and to the right is cheaper and faster — the quality-growth idea in one picture. Points beyond the axis are pinned to the edge and marked off-scale rather than allowed to compress everything else.
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
TFPM
stronger →← stronger
AYA
69
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
93
50
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
50
68
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
75
AYA is stronger on 2 of 3 pillars.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
TFPM
AYA
$215mC
FCF
$88mC-
+44.5%A
Rev
+416.7%A
0.10A-
D/E
0.17B+
15.7xB
P/E
35.6xC
1.24B
PEG
—
Winner per row is the stronger grade; where grades tie, the better figure breaks it. A true tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
TFPM
AYA
29% above
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
199% above
~22%/yr
Growth the price impliesyr-1 FCF growth, fading to 4% · lower = less priced in
~47%/yr
-40%
1-yr DCF upside
-74%
-22%
5-yr DCF upside
-67%
+14%
10-yr DCF upside
-53%
These two disagree on this pair: the Value pillar ranks cheapness against sector peers, while price-vs-fair-value is an absolute read. A name can be the better value in its sector and still the dearer one on cash flows.
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
TFPM
Why this score
Raising its dividend
Diluting shareholders
Cyclical growth
AYA
Why this score
Cyclical growth
Short track record
The companies
TFPMTriple Flag Precious Metals Corp.
Other Precious Metals & Mining · $31.21 · beta 0.31
Why now
Other Precious Metals & Mining · market cap $6.4b. Down 25% from 52-week high of $41.70 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +45% — in hypergrowth territory. 4 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $39.50 (implying +27% upside).
Moat
Net margin 84% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 20% is above 15% — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. Mining moat is reserve quality + extraction cost per unit — top-quartile cost producers generate cash through the commodity cycle while marginal producers burn it.
Risk
P/S 13.2x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard. Reserve-replacement treadmill — every barrel or ounce extracted has to be replaced through exploration or acquisition; underspending on replacement reserves shows up in production declines 2-3 years out.
AYAAya Gold & Silver Inc.
Silver · $27.42 · beta 1.68
Why now
Silver · market cap $3.9b. 11% off the 52-week high of $30.67. Revenue growing +417% — in hypergrowth territory.
Moat
Net margin 33% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 26% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
Beta 1.68 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Trailing P/E 36x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates. P/S 11.5x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Where TFPM and AYA diverge
On the headline score the gap is 8.7 points in favor of AYA. The widest single difference is Quality, where AYA leads by 23.9 points.
QualityTFPM 68.7 · AYA 92.6AYA +23.9
ValueTFPM 68.4 · AYA 75.4AYA +7.0
GrowthTFPM 50.0 · AYA 50.0level
Pillars run 0–100. Value is judged against each company's own sector, so a Value score is a statement about a company relative to its own industry rather than to the other name here. A wide Value gap usually means the market already prices the difference in quality or growth — which is the trade-off this comparison comes down to.
Common questions
Is AYA or TFPM the better stock?
AYA scores higher: AYA 70.4, TFPM 61.7 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth score, which blends business quality, growth and valuation into one number. A higher score means a stronger business at a more reasonable price — it is not a price target or a recommendation.
Where do AYA and TFPM differ most?
The widest gap is quality, where AYA leads by 24 points on the 0–100 pillar scale. AYA also leads value, while growth is effectively level between them.
How are AYA and TFPM scored?
Each carries the same 0–100 quality-growth score used everywhere on the site, built from three pillars — quality (profitability and returns on capital), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (what you pay for them) — combined as a geometric mean, so a weak pillar cannot be papered over by a strong one.
How current is this comparison?
The whole universe is re-scored every trading day after the US market close, so the scores and fundamentals here reflect the latest published edition.