COMPARE · Data as of August 24, 2026
EXPE vs SHAK
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. EXPE scored 67.9, SHAK scored 47.7 — EXPE leads.
Compare another set
EXPE
Expedia Group, Inc.
67.9
$339.13 · $40.7B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
20.2
EXPE leads
SHAK
Shake Shack Inc.
47.7
$75.44 · $3.2B
fundamentals as of
At a glance · who leads each dimension, on the model's own rules
- Fastest growthSHAK+17.3%
- Strongest balance sheetSHAK1.67
- Highest qualityEXPE85 / 100
- Largest discount to fair valueEXPE-44%
Side by side · every name on one set of axes
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
EXPE
stronger →← stronger
SHAK
85
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
46
50
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
91
74
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
26
EXPE is stronger on 2 of 3 pillars.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
EXPE
SHAK
$4.5bB
FCF
-$12mF
+12.0%B
Rev
+17.3%B+
2.30C
D/E
1.67C+
20.2xB
P/E
—
1.00B+
PEG
3.24D
—
P/S
2.1xC+
Winner per row is the stronger grade; where grades tie, the better figure breaks it. A true tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
EXPE
SHAK
44% below
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
—
~-4%/yr
Growth the price implies10-yr FCF · lower = less priced in
—
+52%
1-yr DCF upside
—
+78%
5-yr DCF upside
—
+124%
10-yr DCF upside
—
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
EXPE
Why this score
- Buying back stock
- Raising its dividend
- Durable high returns
- Cyclical growth
SHAK
Why this score
- Buying back stock
The companies
EXPEExpedia Group, Inc.
Why now
Travel Services · market cap $40.7b. Trading near 52-week high of $341.09 — momentum setup, limited technical margin of safety. Revenue growing +12%, comfortably above the S&P median. 35 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $336.23 (implying -1% upside).
Moat
Net margin 13% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. Free cash flow runs well ahead of reported net income — non-cash charges (depreciation, intangible amortization) are holding down GAAP earnings while cash generation stays strong.
Risk
D/E 2.30 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Trading within 1% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction.
SHAKShake Shack Inc.
Why now
Restaurants · market cap $3.2b. Down 30% from 52-week high of $107.49 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +17%, comfortably above the S&P median. 23 sell-side analysts publish a mean 1-yr target of $82.17 (implying +9% upside).
Moat
Higher-variance name — the moat signals on the quantitative card are modest, so the durability case rests on execution (turning current growth into durable earnings power) or an un-monetized asset (IP / network effects / first-mover position) rather than an entrenched competitive position.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$12m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Trailing P/E 80.3x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating. Beta 1.66 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Where EXPE and SHAK diverge
On the headline score the gap is 20.2 points in favor of EXPE. They get there differently, though — each leads on a different pillar, so the better pick depends on which you weight.
- ValueEXPE 74.0 · SHAK 25.8EXPE +48.2
- GrowthEXPE 50.0 · SHAK 91.4SHAK +41.4
- QualityEXPE 84.7 · SHAK 46.2EXPE +38.5
Pillars run 0–100 against sector peers, so a score is a statement about a company relative to its own industry rather than to the other name here. A wide Value gap usually means the market already prices the difference in quality or growth — which is the trade-off this comparison comes down to.