Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. PARR scored 65.2, UGP scored 52.5 — PARR leads.
Compare another set
PARR
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc.
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · Quality-Growth
65.2
$81.89 · $4.1B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
12.7
PARR leads
UGP
Ultrapar Participações S.A.
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · Quality-Growth
52.5
$7.90 · $8.4B
fundamentals as of
At a glance · who leads each dimension, on the model's own rules
CheapestPARR4.8x
Fastest growthPARR+13.2%
Strongest balance sheetPARR0.56
Highest qualityUGP75 / 100
Largest discount to fair valueUGP-69%
Side by side · every name on one set of axes
Growth against the P/E multiple. Up and to the right is cheaper and faster — the quality-growth idea in one picture. Points beyond the axis are pinned to the edge and marked off-scale rather than allowed to compress everything else.
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
PARR
stronger →← stronger
UGP
73
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
75
50
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
50
76
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
53
PARR and UGP split the three pillars evenly.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
PARR
UGP
$412mC
FCF
$1.7bC+
+13.2%B+
Rev
+6.6%C+
0.56B
D/E
0.98C+
4.8xA
P/E
12.7xB
—
PEG
0.78A-
Winner per row is the stronger grade; where grades tie, the better figure breaks it. A true tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
PARR
UGP
56% below
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
69% below
~-10%/yr
Growth the price impliesyr-1 FCF growth, fading to 4% · lower = less priced in
~-22%/yr
+101%
1-yr DCF upside
+207%
+128%
5-yr DCF upside
+219%
+173%
10-yr DCF upside
+237%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · market cap $4.1b. 8% off the 52-week high of $89.45. Revenue growing +13%, comfortably above the S&P median. 7 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $86.71 (implying +6% upside).
Moat
ROE 43% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
Jurisdictional + permitting risk — mining and extraction operations concentrate exposure to political stability, royalty regimes, and environmental review timelines that can stall production for years.
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · market cap $8.4b. 5% off the 52-week high of $8.28. PEG 0.78 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 7 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $7.67 (implying -3% upside).
Moat
ROE 20% is above 15% — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. Free cash flow runs well ahead of reported net income.
Risk
Net margin 2.3% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first. Reserve-replacement treadmill — every barrel or ounce extracted has to be replaced through exploration or acquisition; underspending on replacement reserves shows up in production declines 2-3 years out.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
The model favors PARR (68.2) over UGP (59.9) largely due to PARR's superior valuation, evidenced by its P/E of 4.8x (grade A) compared to UGP's 11.9x (B+). A contrarian might still prefer UGP for its substantially larger -60% discount to DCF fair value versus PARR's -33%. However, investors should note UGP is a foreign reporter, introducing additional considerations.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Where PARR and UGP diverge
On the headline score the gap is 12.7 points in favor of PARR. The widest single difference is Value, where PARR leads by 23.1 points.
ValuePARR 75.9 · UGP 52.8PARR +23.1
QualityPARR 72.9 · UGP 75.1level
GrowthPARR 50.0 · UGP 50.0level
Pillars run 0–100. Value is judged against each company's own sector, so a Value score is a statement about a company relative to its own industry rather than to the other name here. A wide Value gap usually means the market already prices the difference in quality or growth — which is the trade-off this comparison comes down to.
Common questions
Is PARR or UGP the better stock?
PARR scores higher: PARR 65.2, UGP 52.5 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth score, which blends business quality, growth and valuation into one number. A higher score means a stronger business at a more reasonable price — it is not a price target or a recommendation.
Where do PARR and UGP differ most?
The widest gap is value, where PARR leads by 23 points on the 0–100 pillar scale. The other two pillars are close enough to call level, so this is the one place they genuinely separate.
How are PARR and UGP scored?
Each carries the same 0–100 quality-growth score used everywhere on the site, built from three pillars — quality (profitability and returns on capital), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (what you pay for them) — combined as a geometric mean, so a weak pillar cannot be papered over by a strong one.
How current is this comparison?
The whole universe is re-scored every trading day after the US market close, so the scores and fundamentals here reflect the latest published edition.