COMPARE · Reviewed July 30, 2026
MPC vs PBF
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. MPC scored 52.1, PBF scored 52.5 — PBF leads.
Compare another set
MPC
Marathon Petroleum Corporation
52.1
$314.08 · $91.7B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
0.4
PBF leads
PBF
PBF Energy Inc.
52.5
$73.10 · $8.7B
fundamentals as of
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
MPC
stronger →← stronger
PBF
77
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
69
50
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
50
37
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
42
MPC and PBF split the three pillars evenly.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
MPC
PBF
$5.7bB+
FCF
$743mC+
-1.7%D+
Rev
+13.5%B+
1.47C
D/E
0.64B
20.3xB
P/E
16.7xB
1.53C+
PEG
—
Winner per row is the stronger grade in our model; a tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
MPC
PBF
18% below
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
4% below
~-6%/yr
Growth the price implies10-yr FCF · lower = less priced in
~-3%/yr
+35%
1-yr DCF upside
+16%
+21%
5-yr DCF upside
+5%
+3%
10-yr DCF upside
-10%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
MPC
Why this score
- Buying back stock
- Raising its dividend
- Durable high returns
- Revenue shrinking
PBF
Why this score
- Cyclical growth
The companies
MPCMarathon Petroleum Corporation
Why now
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · market cap $91.7b. 4% off the 52-week high of $326.92. 18 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $303.89 (implying -3% upside).
Moat
ROE 28% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 123% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined. $91.7b market cap gives the company enough scale to absorb fixed costs that subscale competitors can't, without yet being so large that growth has to come from acquisition.
Risk
Net margin 3.4% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first. Reserve-replacement treadmill — every barrel or ounce extracted has to be replaced through exploration or acquisition; underspending on replacement reserves shows up in production declines 2-3 years out.
PBFPBF Energy Inc.
Why now
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · market cap $8.7b. Trading near 52-week high of $74.74 — momentum setup, limited technical margin of safety. Revenue growing +14%, comfortably above the S&P median. 13 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $57.08 (implying -22% upside).
Moat
ROE 21% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately.
Risk
Trading within 2% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction. Net margin 3.9% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first. Commodity exposure — earnings power tracks the price of the underlying commodity, not management execution. A 15-20% move in the commodity reprices the equity well before fundamentals catch up.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.