Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. GEO scored 58.3, BCO scored 62.4 — BCO leads.
Compare another set
GEO
The GEO Group, Inc.
Security & Protection Services · Quality-Growth
58.3
$31.13 · $4.1B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
4.1
BCO leads
BCO
The Brink's Company
Security & Protection Services · Quality-Growth
62.4
$103.40 · $4.3B
fundamentals as of
At a glance · who leads each dimension, on the model's own rules
CheapestGEO14.6x
Fastest growthGEO+8.6%
Highest qualityBCO64 / 100
Largest discount to fair valueBCO-35%
Side by side · every name on one set of axes
Growth against the P/E multiple. Up and to the right is cheaper and faster — the quality-growth idea in one picture. Points beyond the axis are pinned to the edge and marked off-scale rather than allowed to compress everything else.
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
GEO
stronger →← stronger
BCO
62
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
64
70
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
63
46
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
60
BCO is stronger on 2 of 3 pillars.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
GEO
BCO
$26mC-
FCF
$394mC
+8.6%B
Rev
+5.0%C+
1.06C+
D/E
—
14.6xA-
P/E
24.0xB
1.37B
PEG
1.16B+
Winner per row is the stronger grade; where grades tie, the better figure breaks it. A true tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
GEO
BCO
670% above
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
35% below
>60%/yr
Growth the price impliesyr-1 FCF growth, fading to 4% · lower = less priced in
~-5%/yr
-88%
1-yr DCF upside
+46%
-87%
5-yr DCF upside
+53%
-86%
10-yr DCF upside
+63%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Security & Protection Services · market cap $4.1b. 6% off the 52-week high of $33.17. 4 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $39.00 (implying +25% upside).
Moat
ROE 20% is above 15% — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately.
Risk
Value re-rating depends on a catalyst. Without one — analyst day, divestiture, margin recovery, capital return — the stock can stay cheap on these multiples for years.
Security & Protection Services · market cap $4.3b. Down 24% from 52-week high of $136.37 — deep drawdown territory. 3 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $146.33 (implying +42% upside).
Moat
ROE 46% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. Free cash flow runs well ahead of reported net income, mostly because of depreciation and amortization ($319m) — non-cash charges that hold down reported earnings while cash generation stays strong.
Risk
Net margin 3.3% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Where GEO and BCO diverge
On the headline score the gap is 4.1 points in favor of BCO. They get there differently, though — each leads on a different pillar, so the better pick depends on which you weight.
ValueGEO 45.5 · BCO 60.5BCO +15.0
GrowthGEO 70.0 · BCO 62.6GEO +7.4
QualityGEO 62.1 · BCO 64.1level
Pillars run 0–100. Value is judged against each company's own sector, so a Value score is a statement about a company relative to its own industry rather than to the other name here. A wide Value gap usually means the market already prices the difference in quality or growth — which is the trade-off this comparison comes down to.
Common questions
Is BCO or GEO the better stock?
BCO scores higher: BCO 62.4, GEO 58.3 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth score, which blends business quality, growth and valuation into one number. A higher score means a stronger business at a more reasonable price — it is not a price target or a recommendation.
Where do BCO and GEO differ most?
The widest gap is value, where BCO leads by 15 points on the 0–100 pillar scale. Neither name sweeps: they trade the lead across the three pillars, so the comparison is a trade-off rather than one being better on every measure.
How are BCO and GEO scored?
Each carries the same 0–100 quality-growth score used everywhere on the site, built from three pillars — quality (profitability and returns on capital), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (what you pay for them) — combined as a geometric mean, so a weak pillar cannot be papered over by a strong one.
How current is this comparison?
The whole universe is re-scored every trading day after the US market close, so the scores and fundamentals here reflect the latest published edition.