COMPARE · Data as of August 21, 2026
CMG vs FLUT
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. CMG scored 65.9, FLUT scored 50.3 — CMG leads.
Compare another set
CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
65.9
$36.90 · $46.7B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
15.6
CMG leads
FLUT
Flutter Entertainment plc
50.3
$102.61 · $17.8B
fundamentals as of
At a glance · who leads each dimension, on the model's own rules
- Fastest growthFLUT+15.2%
- Strongest balance sheetFLUT1.34
- Highest qualityCMG83 / 100
- Largest discount to fair valueFLUT-35%
Side by side · every name on one set of axes
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
CMG
stronger →← stronger
FLUT
83
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
28
75
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
50
46
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
90
CMG is stronger on 2 of 3 pillars.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
CMG
FLUT
$1.6bC+
FCF
$1.2bC+
+7.3%B
Rev
+15.2%B+
2.46C
D/E
1.34C+
34.2xC
P/E
—
1.87C+
PEG
0.19A
—
P/S
1.0xB+
Winner per row is the stronger grade; where grades tie, the better figure breaks it. A true tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
CMG
FLUT
35% above
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
35% below
~19%/yr
Growth the price implies10-yr FCF · lower = less priced in
~4%/yr
-40%
1-yr DCF upside
+17%
-26%
5-yr DCF upside
+54%
0%
10-yr DCF upside
+129%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
CMG
Why this score
- Buying back stock
- Durable high returns
FLUT
Why this score
- Cyclical growth
The companies
CMGChipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
Why now
Restaurants · market cap $46.7b. 15% off the 52-week high of $43.59. 32 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $43.80 (implying +19% upside).
Moat
ROE 65% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 111% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
D/E 2.46 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Trailing P/E 34x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.
FLUTFlutter Entertainment plc
Why now
Gambling · market cap $17.8b. Down 67% from 52-week high of $309.41 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +15%, comfortably above the S&P median. PEG 0.19 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 30 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $141.97 (implying +38% upside).
Moat
Turnaround / out-of-favor name — GAAP-unprofitable for now, so the durability case is forward-looking: it rests on a recovery (margin normalization, a cyclical upturn or restructuring) or an un-monetized asset (IP / network effects / first-mover position) rather than on current reported results.
Risk
Currently unprofitable (margin -5.0%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 67% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. ROE -10% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Where CMG and FLUT diverge
On the headline score the gap is 15.6 points in favor of CMG. They get there differently, though — each leads on a different pillar, so the better pick depends on which you weight.
- QualityCMG 82.8 · FLUT 28.5CMG +54.3
- ValueCMG 46.0 · FLUT 89.7FLUT +43.7
- GrowthCMG 75.1 · FLUT 50.0CMG +25.1
Pillars run 0–100 against sector peers, so a score is a statement about a company relative to its own industry rather than to the other name here. A wide Value gap usually means the market already prices the difference in quality or growth — which is the trade-off this comparison comes down to.