COMPARE · Reviewed July 2, 2026
FLOC vs HESM
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. FLOC scored 69.6, HESM scored 65.3 — FLOC ahead by 4.299999999999997.
FLOC
Flowco Holdings Inc.
69.6
$20.74
Score gap
4.299999999999997
FLOC leads
HESM
Hess Midstream LP
65.3
$38.16
The companies
FLOCFlowco Holdings Inc.
Why now
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · market cap $2.2b. Down 27% from 52-week high of $28.26 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +32% — in hypergrowth territory. PEG 0.40 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 9 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $31.56 (implying +52% upside).
Moat
Net margin 13% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 13% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. Free cash flow runs well ahead of reported net income — non-cash charges (depreciation, intangible amortization) are holding down GAAP earnings while cash generation stays strong.
Risk
Jurisdictional + permitting risk — mining and extraction operations concentrate exposure to political stability, royalty regimes, and environmental review timelines that can stall production for years.
HESMHess Midstream LP
Why now
Oil & Gas Midstream · market cap $7.9b. 14% off the 52-week high of $44.14. 6 sell-side analysts rate this an Underperform with a mean 1-yr target of $36.83 (implying -3% upside).
Moat
Net margin 23% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. Free cash flow runs well ahead of reported net income — non-cash charges (depreciation, intangible amortization) are holding down GAAP earnings while cash generation stays strong.
Risk
Dividend payout 103% of earnings on a 8.0% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut. Hedge-book exposure — many commodity producers hedge forward production; if the hedge book is concentrated at prices well below spot, the upside the market expects is already locked away.
Base grades (each contributes ~14.3% of base composite)
| FLOC | Component | HESM |
|---|---|---|
| C65 | FCF | C+70 |
| A95 | Rev | B80 |
| A-90 | D/E | C65 |
| B80 | P/E or P/S | B+85 |
| A95 | PEG | C+70 |
| Supplemental signals · feed the score, not on the row card | ||
| A-90 | FCF Yield | A95 |
| B80 | ROE | C65 |
| 85.4 | Base composite | 76.6 |
Adjustments (signed deltas applied on top of base)
FLOC
GARP sweet spot (PEG <1, positive FCF)+1
analyst consensus bullish (89% buy/strong-buy)+2
forward P/E cheaper (17 → 12)+1
DCF cross-check (avg upside 87%)+1
Total+5
HESM
analyst consensus weak (0% buy)-2
yield trap (yield 8.0%, payout 103%)-2
DCF cross-check (avg upside 190%)+2
ROE truncated (buyback-depleted equity)-1
Total-3
DCF cross-check (per-share value vs. live price)
| FLOC upside | Horizon | HESM upside |
|---|---|---|
| +53% | 1Y | +159% |
| +80% | 5Y | +184% |
| +129% | 10Y | +227% |
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.