COMPARE · Reviewed July 29, 2026
EXPO vs TREX
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. EXPO scored 74.3, TREX scored 71.6 — EXPO leads.
Compare another set
EXPO
Exponent, Inc.
74.3
$65.84 · $3.2B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
2.7
EXPO leads
TREX
Trex Company, Inc.
71.6
$42.39 · $4.4B
fundamentals as of
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
EXPO
stronger →← stronger
TREX
93
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
88
76
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
56
58
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
74
EXPO is stronger on 2 of 3 pillars.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
EXPO
TREX
$113mC
FCF
$226mC
+7.8%B
Rev
+5.4%C+
0.24A-
D/E
0.44B+
30.8xB
P/E
23.6xB+
2.03C
PEG
1.00B+
Winner per row is the stronger grade in our model; a tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
EXPO
TREX
23% above
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
56% above
~13%/yr
Growth the price implies10-yr FCF · lower = less priced in
~18%/yr
-28%
1-yr DCF upside
-41%
-19%
5-yr DCF upside
-36%
-4%
10-yr DCF upside
-28%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
EXPO
Why this score
- Buying back stock
- Raising its dividend
- Durable high returns
TREX
Why this score
- Buying back stock
- Durable high returns
The companies
EXPOExponent, Inc.
Why now
Engineering & Construction · market cap $3.2b. 20% off the 52-week high of $81.95. 3 sell-side analysts publish a mean 1-yr target of $81.67 (implying +24% upside).
Moat
Net margin 18% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 32% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 104% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Trailing P/E 31x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.
TREXTrex Company, Inc.
Why now
Building Products & Equipment · market cap $4.4b. Down 38% from 52-week high of $67.89 — deep drawdown territory. 18 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $52.94 (implying +25% upside).
Moat
Net margin 16% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 19% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. FCF converts 118% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Down 38% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.47 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.