COMPARE · Reviewed July 30, 2026
EXPE vs WING
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. EXPE scored 68.2, WING scored 65.8 — EXPE leads.
Compare another set
EXPE
Expedia Group, Inc.
68.2
$292.93 · $35.2B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
2.4
EXPE leads
WING
Wingstop Inc.
65.8
$134.34 · $3.7B
fundamentals as of
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
EXPE
stronger →← stronger
WING
84
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
68
50
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
84
76
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
50
EXPE is stronger on 2 of 3 pillars.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
EXPE
WING
$4.1bB
FCF
$128mC
+10.0%B
Rev
+7.6%B
2.57C
D/E
—
26.9xC+
P/E
33.3xC+
1.00B+
PEG
2.06C
Winner per row is the stronger grade in our model; a tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
EXPE
WING
47% below
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
34% above
~-6%/yr
Growth the price implies10-yr FCF · lower = less priced in
~20%/yr
+62%
1-yr DCF upside
-40%
+89%
5-yr DCF upside
-25%
+134%
10-yr DCF upside
+3%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
EXPE
Why this score
- Buying back stock
- Raising its dividend
- Durable high returns
- Cyclical growth
WING
Why this score
- Buying back stock
- Raising its dividend
- Short track record
The companies
EXPEExpedia Group, Inc.
Why now
Travel Services · market cap $35.2b. 6% off the 52-week high of $312.40. Revenue growing +10%, comfortably above the S&P median. 35 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $291.31 (implying -1% upside).
Moat
Free cash flow runs well ahead of reported net income — non-cash charges (depreciation, intangible amortization) are holding down GAAP earnings while cash generation stays strong.
Risk
D/E 2.57 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer.
WINGWingstop Inc.
Why now
Restaurants · market cap $3.7b. Down 65% from 52-week high of $381.45 — deep drawdown territory. 27 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $209.19 (implying +56% upside).
Moat
Net margin 16% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. FCF converts 110% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Down 65% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Trailing P/E 33x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates. ROE -15% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.