COMPARE · Data as of August 21, 2026
EXPE vs PENN
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. EXPE scored 69.0, PENN scored 47.8 — EXPE leads.
Compare another set
EXPE
Expedia Group, Inc.
69
$321.63 · $38.6B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
21.2
EXPE leads
PENN
PENN Entertainment, Inc.
47.8
$18.64 · $2.5B
fundamentals as of
At a glance · who leads each dimension, on the model's own rules
- Fastest growthEXPE+12.0%
- Strongest balance sheetEXPE2.30
- Highest qualityEXPE85 / 100
- Largest discount to fair valuePENN-62%
Side by side · every name on one set of axes
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
EXPE
stronger →← stronger
PENN
85
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
30
50
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
50
78
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
73
EXPE is stronger on 2 of 3 pillars.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
EXPE
PENN
$4.5bB
FCF
$370mC
+12.0%B
Rev
+6.1%C+
2.30C
D/E
5.97D
20.2xB
P/E
—
1.01B+
PEG
1.01B+
—
P/S
0.3xA
Winner per row is the stronger grade; where grades tie, the better figure breaks it. A true tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
EXPE
PENN
47% below
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
62% below
~-6%/yr
Growth the price implies10-yr FCF · lower = less priced in
~-9%/yr
+60%
1-yr DCF upside
+100%
+88%
5-yr DCF upside
+160%
+136%
10-yr DCF upside
+279%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
EXPE
Why this score
- Buying back stock
- Raising its dividend
- Durable high returns
- Cyclical growth
PENN
Why this score
- Buying back stock
- Cyclical growth
The companies
EXPEExpedia Group, Inc.
Why now
Travel Services · market cap $38.6b. 4% off the 52-week high of $335.00. Revenue growing +12%, comfortably above the S&P median. 35 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $336.23 (implying +5% upside).
Moat
Net margin 13% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. Free cash flow runs well ahead of reported net income — non-cash charges (depreciation, intangible amortization) are holding down GAAP earnings while cash generation stays strong.
Risk
D/E 2.30 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer.
PENNPENN Entertainment, Inc.
Why now
Resorts & Casinos · market cap $2.5b. 17% off the 52-week high of $22.36. 19 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $24.39 (implying +31% upside).
Moat
Turnaround / out-of-favor name — GAAP-unprofitable for now, so the durability case is forward-looking: it rests on a recovery (margin normalization, a cyclical upturn or restructuring) or an un-monetized asset (IP / network effects / first-mover position) rather than on current reported results.
Risk
D/E 5.97 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Currently unprofitable (margin -12.7%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Beta 1.41 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Where EXPE and PENN diverge
On the headline score the gap is 21.2 points in favor of EXPE. The widest single difference is Quality, where EXPE leads by 54.8 points.
- QualityEXPE 84.7 · PENN 29.9EXPE +54.8
- ValueEXPE 77.6 · PENN 72.7EXPE +4.9
- GrowthEXPE 50.0 · PENN 50.0level
Pillars run 0–100 against sector peers, so a score is a statement about a company relative to its own industry rather than to the other name here. A wide Value gap usually means the market already prices the difference in quality or growth — which is the trade-off this comparison comes down to.