COMPARE · Data as of August 24, 2026
EXPE vs MGM
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. EXPE scored 67.9, MGM scored 58.0 — EXPE leads.
Compare another set
EXPE
Expedia Group, Inc.
67.9
$339.13 · $40.7B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
9.9
EXPE leads
MGM
MGM Resorts International
58
$43.69 · $11.2B
fundamentals as of
At a glance · who leads each dimension, on the model's own rules
- CheapestEXPE20.2x
- Fastest growthEXPE+12.0%
- Strongest balance sheetEXPE2.30
- Highest qualityEXPE85 / 100
- Largest discount to fair valueMGM-47%
Side by side · every name on one set of axes
Growth against the P/E multiple. Up and to the right is cheaper and faster — the quality-growth idea in one picture. Points beyond the axis are pinned to the edge and marked off-scale rather than allowed to compress everything else.
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
EXPE
stronger →← stronger
MGM
85
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
60
50
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
50
74
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
65
EXPE is stronger on 2 of 3 pillars.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
EXPE
MGM
$4.5bB
FCF
$1.5bC+
+12.0%B
Rev
+3.2%C+
2.30C
D/E
8.93D
20.2xB
P/E
26.5xC+
1.00B+
PEG
0.61A-
Winner per row is the stronger grade; where grades tie, the better figure breaks it. A true tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
EXPE
MGM
44% below
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
47% below
~-4%/yr
Growth the price implies10-yr FCF · lower = less priced in
~-9%/yr
+52%
1-yr DCF upside
+71%
+78%
5-yr DCF upside
+88%
+124%
10-yr DCF upside
+114%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
EXPE
Why this score
- Buying back stock
- Raising its dividend
- Durable high returns
- Cyclical growth
MGM
Why this score
- Buying back stock
- Cyclical growth
The companies
EXPEExpedia Group, Inc.
Why now
Travel Services · market cap $40.7b. Trading near 52-week high of $341.09 — momentum setup, limited technical margin of safety. Revenue growing +12%, comfortably above the S&P median. 35 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $336.23 (implying -1% upside).
Moat
Net margin 13% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. Free cash flow runs well ahead of reported net income — non-cash charges (depreciation, intangible amortization) are holding down GAAP earnings while cash generation stays strong.
Risk
D/E 2.30 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Trading within 1% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction.
MGMMGM Resorts International
Why now
Resorts & Casinos · market cap $11.2b. 15% off the 52-week high of $51.59. PEG 0.61 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 18 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $50.63 (implying +16% upside).
Moat
ROE 17% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. Free cash flow runs well ahead of reported net income — non-cash charges (depreciation, intangible amortization) are holding down GAAP earnings while cash generation stays strong.
Risk
D/E 8.93 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Net margin 2.4% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Where EXPE and MGM diverge
On the headline score the gap is 9.9 points in favor of EXPE. The widest single difference is Quality, where EXPE leads by 24.3 points.
- QualityEXPE 84.7 · MGM 60.4EXPE +24.3
- ValueEXPE 74.0 · MGM 64.8EXPE +9.2
- GrowthEXPE 50.0 · MGM 50.0level
Pillars run 0–100 against sector peers, so a score is a statement about a company relative to its own industry rather than to the other name here. A wide Value gap usually means the market already prices the difference in quality or growth — which is the trade-off this comparison comes down to.