COMPARE · Data as of August 14, 2026
ETSY vs PDD
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. ETSY scored 60.1, PDD scored 67.7 — PDD leads.
Compare another set
Different reporting periods. ETSY's fundamentals are as of June 2026, but PDD's are as of December 2025 — a 6-month gap. Growth, margin and valuation figures below therefore describe different windows and aren't strictly like-for-like.
ETSY
Etsy, Inc.
60.1
$79.90 · $7.3B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
7.6
PDD leads
PDD
PDD Holdings Inc.
67.7
$84.79 · $120.7B
fundamentals as of
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
ETSY
stronger →← stronger
PDD
72
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
89
44
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
81
69
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
78
PDD is stronger on 3 of 3 pillars.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
ETSY
PDD
$649mC+
FCF
$15.8bA-
+3.7%C+
Rev
+9.7%B
—
D/E
0.01A
25.3xC+
P/E
8.9xA
1.04B+
PEG
0.85B+
Winner per row is the stronger grade in our model; a tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
ETSY
PDD
3% below
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
65% below
~9%/yr
Growth the price implies10-yr FCF · lower = less priced in
~-13%/yr
-11%
1-yr DCF upside
+127%
+3%
5-yr DCF upside
+185%
+26%
10-yr DCF upside
+297%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
ETSY
Why this score
- Buying back stock
- Short track record
PDD
Why this score
- Durable high returns
- Foreign reporter (CNY)
The companies
ETSYEtsy, Inc.
Why now
Internet Retail · market cap $7.3b. 9% off the 52-week high of $87.97. 24 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $85.92 (implying +8% upside).
Moat
Free cash flow runs well ahead of reported net income — non-cash charges (depreciation, intangible amortization) are holding down GAAP earnings while cash generation stays strong.
Risk
Beta 1.82 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. ROE -15% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate. Logistics + fulfillment cost — gross margin is sensitive to fuel, labor, and packaging costs that re-price faster than retail pricing can adjust.
PDDPDD Holdings Inc.
Why now
Internet Retail · market cap $120.7b. Down 39% from 52-week high of $139.41 — deep drawdown territory. PEG 0.85 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 34 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $116.66 (implying +38% upside).
Moat
Net margin 23% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 24% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. FCF converts 112% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Down 39% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. E-commerce competition — Amazon, Walmart, Shein, and Temu have each forced the rest of the category to compete on price, fulfillment speed, or assortment; sustaining margins requires one of those being structurally defended.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Where ETSY and PDD diverge
On the headline score the gap is 7.6 points in favor of PDD. The widest single difference is Growth, where PDD leads by 37.4 points.
- GrowthETSY 43.7 · PDD 81.1PDD +37.4
- QualityETSY 72.2 · PDD 89.3PDD +17.1
- ValueETSY 68.6 · PDD 77.7PDD +9.1
Pillars run 0–100 against sector peers, so a score is a statement about a company relative to its own industry rather than to the other name here. A wide Value gap usually means the market already prices the difference in quality or growth — which is the trade-off this comparison comes down to.