Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. ES scored 55.7, NJR scored 65.0 — NJR leads.
Compare another set
ES
Eversource Energy
Utilities - Regulated Electric · Quality-Growth
55.7
$65.73 · $24.8B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
9.3
NJR leads
NJR
New Jersey Resources Corporation
Utilities - Regulated Gas · Quality-Growth
65
$51.21 · $5.2B
fundamentals as of
At a glance · who leads each dimension, on the model's own rules
CheapestNJR14.2x
Fastest growthES+7.8%
Strongest balance sheetNJR1.47
Highest qualityNJR76 / 100
Largest discount to fair valueNJR-9%
Side by side · every name on one set of axes
Growth against the P/E multiple. Up and to the right is cheaper and faster — the quality-growth idea in one picture. Points beyond the axis are pinned to the edge and marked off-scale rather than allowed to compress everything else.
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
ES
stronger →← stronger
NJR
52
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
76
56
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
56
59
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
64
NJR is stronger on 2 of 3 pillars.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
ES
NJR
$298mC
FCF
$359mC
+7.8%B
Rev
+7.0%C+
1.81C+
D/E
1.47B
17.0xA-
P/E
14.2xA-
2.25C
PEG
2.14C
Winner per row is the stronger grade; where grades tie, the better figure breaks it. A true tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
ES
NJR
283% above
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
9% below
~40%/yr
Growth the price impliesyr-1 FCF growth, fading to 4% · lower = less priced in
~3%/yr
-75%
1-yr DCF upside
+6%
-74%
5-yr DCF upside
+10%
-72%
10-yr DCF upside
+17%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
ES
No notable signals flagged.
NJR
Why this score
Raising its dividend
The companies
ESEversource Energy
Utilities - Regulated Electric · $65.73 · beta 0.68
Why now
Utilities - Regulated Electric · market cap $24.8b. 14% off the 52-week high of $76.57. 12 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $73.33 (implying +12% upside).
Moat
Moat signals from the quantitative card are modest — profitability and capital efficiency are middle-of-pack. The thesis here depends on softer factors (switching costs, brand, distribution, regulatory protection) not captured by the quality-growth screen.
Risk
Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.
NJRNew Jersey Resources Corporation
Utilities - Regulated Gas · $51.21 · beta 0.50
Why now
Utilities - Regulated Gas · market cap $5.2b. 16% off the 52-week high of $60.86. 7 sell-side analysts publish a mean 1-yr target of $59.86 (implying +17% upside).
Moat
Net margin 24% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 14% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. FCF converts 98% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash.
Risk
Commodity exposure — earnings power tracks the price of the underlying commodity, not management execution. A 15-20% move in the commodity reprices the equity well before fundamentals catch up.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Where ES and NJR diverge
On the headline score the gap is 9.3 points in favor of NJR. The widest single difference is Quality, where NJR leads by 24.5 points.
QualityES 51.9 · NJR 76.4NJR +24.5
ValueES 59.2 · NJR 64.2NJR +5.0
GrowthES 56.2 · NJR 56.1level
Pillars run 0–100. Value is judged against each company's own sector, so a Value score is a statement about a company relative to its own industry rather than to the other name here. A wide Value gap usually means the market already prices the difference in quality or growth — which is the trade-off this comparison comes down to.
Common questions
Is NJR or ES the better stock?
NJR scores higher: NJR 65.0, ES 55.7 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth score, which blends business quality, growth and valuation into one number. A higher score means a stronger business at a more reasonable price — it is not a price target or a recommendation.
Where do NJR and ES differ most?
The widest gap is quality, where NJR leads by 25 points on the 0–100 pillar scale. NJR also leads value, while growth is effectively level between them.
How are NJR and ES scored?
Each carries the same 0–100 quality-growth score used everywhere on the site, built from three pillars — quality (profitability and returns on capital), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (what you pay for them) — combined as a geometric mean, so a weak pillar cannot be papered over by a strong one.
How current is this comparison?
The whole universe is re-scored every trading day after the US market close, so the scores and fundamentals here reflect the latest published edition.