COMPARE · Reviewed July 2, 2026
EME vs EXPO
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. EME scored 73.9, EXPO scored 73 — EME ahead by 0.9000000000000057.
EME
EMCOR Group, Inc.
73.9
$774.66
Score gap
0.9000000000000057
EME leads
EXPO
Exponent, Inc.
73
$60.98
The companies
EMEEMCOR Group, Inc.
Why now
Engineering & Construction · market cap $34.5b. 19% off the 52-week high of $951.96. Revenue growing +17%, comfortably above the S&P median. PEG 0.44 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 7 sell-side analysts publish a mean 1-yr target of $1,000 (implying +29% upside).
Moat
ROE 35% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
Value re-rating depends on a catalyst. Without one — analyst day, divestiture, margin recovery, capital return — the stock can stay cheap on these multiples for years.
EXPOExponent, Inc.
Why now
Engineering & Construction · market cap $3.0b. Down 26% from 52-week high of $81.95 — deep drawdown territory. 3 sell-side analysts publish a mean 1-yr target of $81.67 (implying +34% upside).
Moat
Net margin 18% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 32% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 104% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.
Base grades (each contributes ~14.3% of base composite)
| EME | Component | EXPO |
|---|---|---|
| C+70 | FCF | C65 |
| B+85 | Rev | C+70 |
| A-90 | D/E | A-90 |
| B80 | P/E or P/S | B80 |
| A95 | PEG | C65 |
| Supplemental signals · feed the score, not on the row card | ||
| B80 | FCF Yield | B80 |
| A95 | ROE | A95 |
| 85 | Base composite | 76.4 |
Adjustments (signed deltas applied on top of base)
EME
GARP sweet spot (PEG <1, positive FCF)+1
analyst consensus bullish (70% buy/strong-buy)+2
DCF cross-check (avg upside -48%)-1
Total+2
EXPO
insider cluster buying (net +14.0%, 33 txns)+2
Total+2
DCF cross-check (per-share value vs. live price)
| EME upside | Horizon | EXPO upside |
|---|---|---|
| -55% | 1Y | -22% |
| -49% | 5Y | -13% |
| -41% | 10Y | +3% |
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.