COMPARE · Reviewed July 29, 2026
EAT vs EXPE
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. EAT scored 67.4, EXPE scored 68.5 — EXPE leads.
Compare another set
EAT
Brinker International, Inc.
67.4
$207.55 · $8.9B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
1.1
EXPE leads
EXPE
Expedia Group, Inc.
68.5
$293.21 · $35.2B
fundamentals as of
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
EAT
stronger →← stronger
EXPE
77
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
84
85
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
50
47
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
77
EXPE is stronger on 2 of 3 pillars.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
EAT
EXPE
$504mC+
FCF
$4.1bB
+11.8%B
Rev
+10.0%B
4.31D
D/E
2.57C
20.2xB
P/E
25.9xB
1.42B
PEG
0.91B+
Winner per row is the stronger grade in our model; a tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
EAT
EXPE
8% above
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
47% below
~12%/yr
Growth the price implies10-yr FCF · lower = less priced in
~-6%/yr
-21%
1-yr DCF upside
+62%
-8%
5-yr DCF upside
+89%
+16%
10-yr DCF upside
+135%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
EAT
Why this score
- Buying back stock
- Durable high returns
EXPE
Why this score
- Buying back stock
- Raising its dividend
- Durable high returns
- Cyclical growth
The companies
EATBrinker International, Inc.
Why now
Restaurants · market cap $8.9b. Trading near 52-week high of $210.00 — momentum setup, limited technical margin of safety. Revenue growing +12%, comfortably above the S&P median. 21 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $197.95 (implying -5% upside).
Moat
FCF converts 109% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
D/E 4.31 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Trading within 1% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction.
EXPEExpedia Group, Inc.
Why now
Travel Services · market cap $35.2b. 6% off the 52-week high of $312.40. Revenue growing +10%, comfortably above the S&P median. PEG 0.91 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 35 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $289.31 (implying -1% upside).
Moat
Free cash flow runs well ahead of reported net income — non-cash charges (depreciation, intangible amortization) are holding down GAAP earnings while cash generation stays strong.
Risk
D/E 2.57 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.