COMPARE · Reviewed July 29, 2026
DLTR vs SFM
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. DLTR scored 63.9, SFM scored 64.7 — SFM leads.
Compare another set
DLTR
Dollar Tree, Inc.
63.9
$128.10 · $24.6B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
0.8
SFM leads
SFM
Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.
64.7
$87.39 · $8.2B
fundamentals as of
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
DLTR
stronger →← stronger
SFM
78
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
76
67
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
67
50
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
53
DLTR and SFM split the three pillars evenly.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
DLTR
SFM
$1.3bC+
FCF
$357mC
+9.4%B
Rev
+7.2%B
2.17C
D/E
1.44C+
20.6xB
P/E
16.8xB+
1.57C+
PEG
1.75C+
Winner per row is the stronger grade in our model; a tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
DLTR
SFM
22% below
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
8% above
~1%/yr
Growth the price implies10-yr FCF · lower = less priced in
~7%/yr
+16%
1-yr DCF upside
-11%
+28%
5-yr DCF upside
-8%
+47%
10-yr DCF upside
-2%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
DLTR
Why this score
- Buying back stock
- Durable high returns
SFM
Why this score
- Buying back stock
- Durable high returns
The companies
DLTRDollar Tree, Inc.
Why now
Discount Stores · market cap $24.6b. 10% off the 52-week high of $142.40. 25 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $127.20 (implying -1% upside).
Moat
ROE 37% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 102% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
D/E 2.17 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer.
SFMSprouts Farmers Market, Inc.
Why now
Grocery Stores · market cap $8.2b. Down 46% from 52-week high of $160.49 — deep drawdown territory. 14 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $92.50 (implying +6% upside).
Moat
ROE 34% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
Down 46% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.