COMPARE · Reviewed July 29, 2026
DLTR vs PSMT
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. DLTR scored 63.9, PSMT scored 48.4 — DLTR leads.
Compare another set
DLTR
Dollar Tree, Inc.
63.9
$128.10 · $24.6B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
15.5
DLTR leads
PSMT
PriceSmart, Inc.
48.4
$193.44 · $6.0B
fundamentals as of
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
DLTR
stronger →← stronger
PSMT
78
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
63
67
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
81
50
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
22
DLTR is stronger on 2 of 3 pillars.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
DLTR
PSMT
$1.3bC+
FCF
$74mC-
+9.4%B
Rev
+10.2%B
2.17C
D/E
0.24A-
20.6xB
P/E
37.2xC
1.57C+
PEG
1.83C+
Winner per row is the stronger grade in our model; a tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
DLTR
PSMT
22% below
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
242% above
~1%/yr
Growth the price implies10-yr FCF · lower = less priced in
~41%/yr
+16%
1-yr DCF upside
-75%
+28%
5-yr DCF upside
-71%
+47%
10-yr DCF upside
-63%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
DLTR
Why this score
- Buying back stock
- Durable high returns
PSMT
No notable signals flagged.
The companies
DLTRDollar Tree, Inc.
Why now
Discount Stores · market cap $24.6b. 10% off the 52-week high of $142.40. 25 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $127.20 (implying -1% upside).
Moat
ROE 37% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 102% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
D/E 2.17 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer.
PSMTPriceSmart, Inc.
Why now
Discount Stores · market cap $6.0b. 3% off the 52-week high of $199.84. Revenue growing +10%, comfortably above the S&P median. 3 sell-side analysts publish a mean 1-yr target of $153.33 (implying -21% upside).
Moat
ROE 12% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere.
Risk
Trailing P/E 37x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates. Net margin 2.8% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.