COMPARE · Reviewed July 29, 2026
DLTR vs OLLI
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. DLTR scored 63.9, OLLI scored 76.1 — OLLI leads.
Compare another set
DLTR
Dollar Tree, Inc.
63.9
$128.10 · $24.6B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
12.2
OLLI leads
OLLI
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
76.1
$72.14 · $4.4B
fundamentals as of
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
DLTR
stronger →← stronger
OLLI
78
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
68
67
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
87
50
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
74
OLLI is stronger on 2 of 3 pillars.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
DLTR
OLLI
$1.3bC+
FCF
$213mC
+9.4%B
Rev
+16.7%B+
2.17C
D/E
0.38A-
20.6xB
P/E
17.9xB+
1.57C+
PEG
1.06B+
Winner per row is the stronger grade in our model; a tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
DLTR
OLLI
22% below
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
10% above
~1%/yr
Growth the price implies10-yr FCF · lower = less priced in
~11%/yr
+16%
1-yr DCF upside
-21%
+28%
5-yr DCF upside
-9%
+47%
10-yr DCF upside
+10%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
DLTR
Why this score
- Buying back stock
- Durable high returns
OLLI
No notable signals flagged.
The companies
DLTRDollar Tree, Inc.
Why now
Discount Stores · market cap $24.6b. 10% off the 52-week high of $142.40. 25 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $127.20 (implying -1% upside).
Moat
ROE 37% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 102% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
D/E 2.17 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer.
OLLIOllie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
Why now
Discount Stores · market cap $4.4b. Down 49% from 52-week high of $141.74 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +17%, comfortably above the S&P median. 15 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $109.13 (implying +51% upside).
Moat
ROE 13% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere.
Risk
Down 49% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.