COMPARE · Reviewed August 7, 2026
DK vs MPC
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. DK scored 55.0, MPC scored 61.3 — MPC leads.
Compare another set
DK
Delek US Holdings, Inc.
55
$58.46 · $3.6B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
6.3
MPC leads
MPC
Marathon Petroleum Corporation
61.3
$298.20 · $83.7B
fundamentals as of
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
DK
stronger →← stronger
MPC
57
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
79
48
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
50
61
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
58
MPC is stronger on 2 of 3 pillars.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
DK
MPC
$681mC+
FCF
$12.9bA-
+11.4%B
Rev
+15.0%B+
8.12D
D/E
1.33C
15.9xB
P/E
10.3xA-
0.38A
PEG
1.52C+
Winner per row is the stronger grade in our model; a tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
DK
MPC
72% below
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
67% below
decline
Growth the price implies10-yr FCF · lower = less priced in
decline
+294%
1-yr DCF upside
+241%
+253%
5-yr DCF upside
+205%
+200%
10-yr DCF upside
+159%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
DK
No notable signals flagged.
MPC
Why this score
- Buying back stock
- Raising its dividend
- Durable high returns
- Cyclical growth
The companies
DKDelek US Holdings, Inc.
Why now
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · market cap $3.6b. 15% off the 52-week high of $68.93. Revenue growing +11%, comfortably above the S&P median. PEG 0.38 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 12 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $62.00 (implying +6% upside).
Moat
ROE 53% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. Free cash flow runs well ahead of reported net income — non-cash charges (depreciation, intangible amortization) are holding down GAAP earnings while cash generation stays strong.
Risk
D/E 8.12 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Net margin 1.9% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first. Reserve-replacement treadmill — every barrel or ounce extracted has to be replaced through exploration or acquisition; underspending on replacement reserves shows up in production declines 2-3 years out.
MPCMarathon Petroleum Corporation
Why now
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · market cap $83.7b. 9% off the 52-week high of $326.92. Revenue growing +15%, comfortably above the S&P median. 18 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $305.56 (implying +2% upside).
Moat
ROE 45% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 151% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined. $83.7b market cap gives the company enough scale to absorb fixed costs that subscale competitors can't, without yet being so large that growth has to come from acquisition.
Risk
Reserve-replacement treadmill — every barrel or ounce extracted has to be replaced through exploration or acquisition; underspending on replacement reserves shows up in production declines 2-3 years out.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
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