COMPARE · Reviewed July 29, 2026
DEO vs POST
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. DEO scored 72.7, POST scored 67.6 — DEO leads.
Compare another set
DEO
Diageo plc
72.7
$88.90 · $49.4B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
5.1
DEO leads
POST
Post Holdings, Inc.
67.6
$93.44 · $4.2B
fundamentals as of
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
DEO
stronger →← stronger
POST
73
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
54
66
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
79
79
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
72
DEO is stronger on 2 of 3 pillars.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
DEO
POST
—
FCF
$517mC+
+4.8%C+
Rev
+7.2%B
1.77C
D/E
2.38C
20.6xB
P/E
15.7xA-
0.83B+
PEG
1.17B+
Winner per row is the stronger grade in our model; a tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
DEO
POST
—
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
53% below
—
Growth the price implies10-yr FCF · lower = less priced in
~-11%/yr
—
1-yr DCF upside
+93%
—
5-yr DCF upside
+114%
—
10-yr DCF upside
+147%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
DEO
Why this score
- Durable high returns
- Cut its dividend
POST
Why this score
- Buying back stock
The companies
DEODiageo plc
Why now
Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · market cap $49.4b. Down 24% from 52-week high of $116.41 — deep drawdown territory. PEG 0.83 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 7 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $101.43 (implying +14% upside).
Moat
Net margin 16% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 41% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.
POSTPost Holdings, Inc.
Why now
Packaged Foods · market cap $4.2b. Down 20% from 52-week high of $117.28 — deep drawdown territory. 6 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $115.83 (implying +24% upside).
Moat
ROE 11% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. FCF converts 153% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
D/E 2.38 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Net margin 4.0% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.