COMPARE · Reviewed July 9, 2026
DEO vs OLLI
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. DEO scored 75.7, OLLI scored 78.0 — OLLI leads.
Compare another set
DEO
Diageo plc
75.7
$80.61 · $44.8B
Score gap
2.3
OLLI leads
OLLI
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
78
$63.72 · $3.9B
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
DEO
stronger →← stronger
OLLI
74
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
68
66
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
87
89
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
80
DEO is stronger on 2 of 3 pillars.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
DEO
OLLI
—
FCF
$213mC
+4.8%C+
Rev
+16.6%B+
1.77C
D/E
0.38A-
18.6xB+
P/E
15.8xA-
0.80A-
PEG
0.95B+
Winner per row is the stronger grade in our model; a tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
DEO
OLLI
—
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
3% below
—
1-yr DCF upside
-10%
—
5-yr DCF upside
+3%
—
10-yr DCF upside
+26%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
DEO
Why this score
- Durable high returns
- Cut its dividend
OLLI
No notable signals flagged.
The companies
DEODiageo plc
Why now
Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · market cap $44.8b. Down 31% from 52-week high of $116.41 — deep drawdown territory. PEG 0.80 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 7 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $100.43 (implying +25% upside).
Moat
Net margin 16% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 41% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
Down 31% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Dividend payout 96% of earnings on a 4.0% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut.
OLLIOllie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
Why now
Discount Stores · market cap $3.9b. Down 55% from 52-week high of $141.74 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +17%, comfortably above the S&P median. PEG 0.95 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 15 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $120.20 (implying +89% upside).
Moat
ROE 13% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere.
Risk
Down 55% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.