COMPARE · Data as of August 21, 2026
CMG vs CZR
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. CMG scored 65.9, CZR scored 38.8 — CMG leads.
Compare another set
CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
65.9
$36.90 · $46.7B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
27.1
CMG leads
CZR
Caesars Entertainment, Inc.
38.8
$29.76 · $6.1B
fundamentals as of
At a glance · who leads each dimension, on the model's own rules
- Fastest growthCMG+7.3%
- Strongest balance sheetCMG2.46
- Highest qualityCMG83 / 100
- Largest discount to fair valueCZR-32%
Side by side · every name on one set of axes
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
CMG
stronger →← stronger
CZR
83
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
46
75
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
34
46
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
37
CMG is stronger on 3 of 3 pillars.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
CMG
CZR
$1.6bC+
FCF
$610mC+
+7.3%B
Rev
+2.4%C
2.46C
D/E
7.30D
34.2xC
P/E
—
1.87C+
PEG
4.51D
—
P/S
0.5xA-
Winner per row is the stronger grade; where grades tie, the better figure breaks it. A true tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
CMG
CZR
35% above
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
32% below
~19%/yr
Growth the price implies10-yr FCF · lower = less priced in
~5%/yr
-40%
1-yr DCF upside
+13%
-26%
5-yr DCF upside
+46%
0%
10-yr DCF upside
+109%
These two disagree on this pair: the Value pillar ranks cheapness against sector peers, while price-vs-fair-value is an absolute read. A name can be the better value in its sector and still the dearer one on cash flows.
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
CMG
Why this score
- Buying back stock
- Durable high returns
CZR
Why this score
- Buying back stock
The companies
CMGChipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
Why now
Restaurants · market cap $46.7b. 15% off the 52-week high of $43.59. 32 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $43.80 (implying +19% upside).
Moat
ROE 65% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 111% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
D/E 2.46 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Trailing P/E 34x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.
CZRCaesars Entertainment, Inc.
Why now
Resorts & Casinos · market cap $6.1b. 4% off the 52-week high of $30.88. 15 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $31.27 (implying +5% upside).
Moat
Turnaround / out-of-favor name — GAAP-unprofitable for now, so the durability case is forward-looking: it rests on a recovery (margin normalization, a cyclical upturn or restructuring) or an un-monetized asset (IP / network effects / first-mover position) rather than on current reported results.
Risk
D/E 7.30 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Currently unprofitable (margin -3.4%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Beta 1.75 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Where CMG and CZR diverge
On the headline score the gap is 27.1 points in favor of CMG. The widest single difference is Growth, where CMG leads by 40.7 points.
- GrowthCMG 75.1 · CZR 34.4CMG +40.7
- QualityCMG 82.8 · CZR 45.6CMG +37.2
- ValueCMG 46.0 · CZR 37.3CMG +8.7
Pillars run 0–100 against sector peers, so a score is a statement about a company relative to its own industry rather than to the other name here. A wide Value gap usually means the market already prices the difference in quality or growth — which is the trade-off this comparison comes down to.